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Judicial independence and crash risk: Evidence from a natural experiment in China

Journal of Corporate Finance 2023 83, 102490
This paper examines the impact of judicial independence on stock price crash risk. Employing the establishment of circuit tribunals in China as a shock to judicial independence and a difference-in-differences design, I find that increased judicial independence is associated with lower stock price crash risk. Further analysis suggests that timely disclosure of bad news is a potential mechanism through which judicial independence affects stock price crash risk. Cross-sectional tests indicate that the negative relationship between judicial independence and crash risk is more pronounced for firms located in areas with higher levels of local protectionism, firms with a stronger incentive to hoard more bad news, and firms with weaker external monitoring prior to the circuit tribunal implementation. Taken together, my findings suggest that judicial independence plays a disciplinary role in mitigating firms' bad-news-hoarding activities.