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Is There a Trade-off Between Protecting Investors and Promoting Entrepreneurial Activity? Evidence from Angel Financing

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2023 58(8), 3305-3341 open access
This article studies how changes in investor protection regulations affect local entrepreneurial activity, relying on the heterogeneous impact of a 2011 SEC regulation change on the definition of accredited investors across U.S. cities. Using a difference-in-differences approach, I show that cities more affected by the regulation change experienced a significantly larger decrease in local angel financing, entrepreneurial activity, innovation output, employment, and sales. I find that small business loans and second-lien mortgages became entrepreneurs’ partial substitutes for angel investment. My cost-benefit analysis suggests that the costs of protecting angel investors through the 2011 regulation change outweigh its benefits.

Investor Attrition and Fund Flows in Mutual Funds

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2017 52(3), 867-893 open access
We explore the properties of equity mutual funds that experience a loss of assets after poor performance. We document that both inflows and outflows are less sensitive to performance, because performance-sensitive investors leave or decide not to invest after bad performance. Consistent with the idea that attrition measures the sorting of performance-sensitive investors, we find that attrition has less of an impact on the fund’s flow–performance sensitivity for institutional funds where there is less dispersion in investor performance sensitivity. Also, attrition has no effect on the flow–performance sensitivity when attrition arises after good performance or investors invest for nonperformance reasons.

Formal finance and trade credit during China's transition

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2009 18(2), 173-192 open access
Using a large panel dataset of Chinese industrial firms, we find that poorly performing SOEs were more likely to redistribute credit to firms with less privileged access to loans via trade credit. While that could be consistent with the efficient redistribution of credit, it is more likely that these SOEs extended trade credit to prop up faltering customers that were in arrears. By contrast, profitable private domestic firms were more likely to extend trade credit than unprofitable ones. Trade credit likely provided a substitute for loans for these firms' customers that were shut out of formal credit markets. As biases in lending become less severe, the allocation of lending became more efficient, and the amount of trade credit extended by private firms declined. Our evidence implies that redistribution of bank loans via trade was not a major contributor to China's explosive growth.

Closing Gender Gaps Through Workplace Diversity: The Intergenerational Effects of World War I

Review of Economic Studies 2026 open access
This article combines personnel records of the U.S. government with census data to study how exposure to greater female representation at work can persistently reduce intergenerational gender gaps in labour market outcomes. Exploiting city-by-department variation in the sudden expansion of female employment during World War I, we find that daughters of civil servants exposed to female co-workers are more likely to work later in life. This intergenerational effect operates through exposed fathers and extends beyond the public sector, reducing the earnings gap by 12%. Consistent with a broader shift in attitudes towards working women, exposure to female co-workers also made male civil servants more likely to marry working women. We show that cities exposed to larger increases in female federal workers saw persistently higher female labour force participation in both the public and the private sector. Increasing gender representation within the public sector can thus have broader labour market implications.

Incentives, Information, and Organizational Form

Review of Economic Studies 2000 67(2), 359-378 open access
We model an organization as a hierarchy of managers erected on top of a technology (here consisting of a collection of plants). In our framework, the role of a manager is to take steps to reduce the adverse consequences of shocks that affect the plants beneath him. We argue that different organizational forms give rise to different information about managers' performance and therefore differ according to how effective incentives can be in encouraging a good performance. In particular, we show that, under certain assumptions, the M-form (multi-divisional form) is likely to provide better incentives than the U-form (unitary form) because it promotes yardstick competition (i.e. relative performance evaluation) more effectively. We conclude by presenting evidence that the assumptions on which this comparison rests are satisfied for Chinese data.

Profitability and capital structure: Evidence from import penetration

Journal of Financial Economics 2012 106(2), 427-446 open access
Firms experiencing increases in import competition significantly reduce their leverage ratios by issuing equity and selling assets to repay debt. Using import tariffs and foreign exchange rates as instrumental variables for import penetration, I show that these results are not manifestations of endogenous relations between import competition and leverage. The results are consistent with traditional trade-off models of capital structure that predict a positive relation between book leverage and expected future profitability. Further evidence suggests that import competition affects leverage through changes in the trade-off between the tax benefits of debt and the costs of financial distress.

Inflexibility and Corporate Credit Spreads

The Review of Corporate Finance Studies 2025 open access
This paper studies the role of scale inflexibility in explaining corporate credit spreads. We find robust evidence that firms with higher inflexibility have higher credit spreads. To mitigate the endogeneity concern, we employ a regression discontinuity design that uses the exogenous variations in labor adjustment costs resulting from close-call union elections. Furthermore, contraction inflexibility is more prominent in influencing credit spreads than expansion inflexibility is. Additionally, inflexibility increases credit spreads due to increased cash flow volatility and financial distress risk. Our findings highlight the importance of a firm’s ability to adapt to productivity shocks in fulfilling its debt obligations.

Do Place-Based Policies Promote Local Innovation and Entrepreneurship?*

Review of Finance 2022 26(3), 595-635 open access
This paper explores how a prominent place-based policy in China, the national high-tech zones, affects local innovation output and entrepreneurial activities. Making use of staggered establishments of national high-tech zones in various Chinese cities, we find that the establishment of national high-tech zones has positive effects on local innovation output and entrepreneurial activities. A number of additional tests suggest that the effects appear causal. Access to finance, reductions in administrative burdens, and talent cultivation are three plausible underlying economic channels. Our paper sheds new light on the evaluation of the effectiveness of China’s place-based policies.

Sovereign Credit Quality and Violations of the Law of One Price

Review of Finance 2021 25(5), 1581-1607 open access
It is well-documented that government bonds with almost identical cash flows can trade at different prices. This article analyzes the cross-section of bond spreads across developed European countries and documents a novel result. While a measure of the convenience yield of government bonds helps explain these spreads, it cannot explain the behavior of bond spreads in periods of widening credit risk. The article documents bond spreads between new and old issues tighten for low-quality sovereigns. In other words, the newer more liquid bonds become cheaper, not more expensive, relative to their older counterparts. We offer an explanation based on price pressure and provide empirical support using data on net flows of investors in sovereign bonds.

Strengthening State Capacity: Civil Service Reform and Public Sector Performance during the Gilded Age

American Economic Review 2024 114(8), 2352-2387 open access
We use newly digitized records from the post office to study the effects of strengthened state capacity between 1875 and 1901. Exploiting the implementation of the Pendleton Act—a landmark statute that shielded bureaucrats from political interference—across US cities over two waves, we find that civil service reform reduced postal delivery errors and increased productivity. These improvements were most pronounced during election years when the reform dampened bureaucratic turnover. We provide suggestive evidence that reformed cities witnessed declining local partisan newspapers. Separating politics from administration, therefore, not only improved state effectiveness but also weakened the role of local politics.