Knowledge that Transforms

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Labor Links, Comovement, and Predictable Returns

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 61(1), 1-31 open access
Abstract Using firms’ online job postings, we identify economically related peer firms in the labor market. Firms’ labor peers are vastly different from their industry peers, where the overlap is about 20%. Returns of labor-linked firms strongly comove, suggesting common responses to labor market shocks on average. However, industry shocks can affect firms outside the industry through the labor network, leading to substitution effects between labor peers. Last, we show that investors do not promptly incorporate news about labor-linked firms, leading to predictable subsequent returns. A long-short strategy exploiting this delay generates an average annualized excess return of 9%.

Blockchain Currency Markets

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 open access
Abstract We conduct the first comprehensive study of blockchain currencies—stablecoins pegged to fiat currencies and traded on decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Using transaction-level data linked to wallet characteristics, we show that prices in these markets are generally efficient, though constrained by blockchain frictions such as gas fees and Ether volatility. DEX rates closely track traditional currency markets through arbitrage and informed trading. Traders with substantial market share and access to primary markets exert greater price impact, reflecting informational advantages. While blockchain markets may improve access for customers excluded from traditional venues, their scalability depends on addressing frictions inherent to decentralized trading.

Mutual Fund Trading, Fund Flows, and ESG Portfolios

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 61(2), 768-798 open access
Abstract This article studies how ESG and conventional mutual funds trade stocks during the COVID-19 crash. Both fund types trade individual stocks similarly: Net purchases of ESG stocks are less sensitive than other stocks to fund flows pre-crash, but sensitivities increase for all stocks during the crash. In contrast, ESG funds’ aggregate net purchases are less sensitive than those of conventional funds during the crash. This difference is due to ESG funds’ portfolio tilt toward the less flow-sensitive ESG stocks. There is no evidence of an ESG clientele effect in trading decisions, as both fund types trade individual stocks similarly.

Local Labor Markets and Corporate Innovation

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 61(1), 441-479 open access
Abstract We construct a measure ( fLMA ) of the extent to which neighboring firms hire similar types of workers, based on the similarity between the labor profile of a firm and that of its locality. We show that a firm’s innovation is positively related to fLMA. The enhanced labor mobility induced by higher fLMA is an important channel for this positive relation. This relation is stronger when firms have increased outside job opportunities for employees, increased knowledge spillovers via coworkership, and more employee stock options. Innovation is higher when intellectual property ownership is with employers, not employees. This effect increases in fLMA.

Measuring the Economic Value of an Innovation When Some Investors Are Inattentive

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 61(1), 206-238 open access
Abstract We analyze the effects of limited investor attention on the stock market reaction to innovation announcements and develop a new measure of patents’ economic value. We hypothesize that, when some investors pay delayed attention to innovation announcements, there will be a post-announcement drift in addition to the announcement effect, with the former decreasing and the latter increasing in investor attention. Using media coverage and abnormal Google search volume as investor attention proxies, we find consistent evidence. Our new attention-weighted measure of patents’ economic value has greater predictive power for future firm performance than measures based on the announcement effect alone.

ETF Sampling and Index Arbitrage

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 61(2), 547-579 open access
Abstract This article shows that exchange-traded funds (ETFs) “sample” their indexes, systematically underweighting or omitting illiquid index stocks. As a result, arbitrage activity between the ETF and its index has heterogeneous effects on underlying asset markets. Using an instrumental variables approach, we find that the trading activity of ETFs reduces liquidity and price efficiency and increases volatility and co-movement for liquid stocks but has no effect on illiquid stocks. Our results demonstrate that the effects of passive investing on asset markets depend on how passive funds replicate their target index.

Government Procurement and Corporate Environmental Policies

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 61(3), 1178-1215 open access
Abstract We investigate how the government, as a customer, affects a supplier’s environmental policies. We find that government contractors have significantly lower levels of toxic pollution. Exploring the mechanisms, we show that government contractors reduce pollution by strengthening internal environmental governance and increasing investments in pollution abatement. Further analysis rules out alternative explanations related to reduced economic activities and financial constraints. Overall, our results highlight the government’s important role in disciplining corporate environmental misbehavior.

Leverage and Stablecoin Pegs

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026 61(1), 99-136 open access
Abstract Stablecoins are a new form of private money. They are fragile but largely trade at par. How? We present a model and empirical work to examine a novel source of demand for stablecoins. Stablecoin owners are indirectly compensated for run risk by lending their coins to crypto speculators. The stablecoin can then support its $1 peg, but this arrangement links crypto speculation to traditional financial markets where stablecoins invest their reserves.

Does the All‐Star Award Affect Chinese Analysts' Performance? Evidence From a Regression Discontinuity Design and the Field

Contemporary Accounting Research 2026 43(2), 607-631 open access
ABSTRACT This paper examines the effect of the All‐Star award on the performance of Chinese financial analysts. Leveraging unique voting data from 2007 to 2016 and a regression discontinuity design (RDD), we find that the All‐Star award significantly enhances recipients' fundamental analysis. Awarded analysts issue more accurate earnings forecasts, and their stock recommendations convey greater information content for firms with higher information asymmetry. RDD results also indicate that award recipients gain increased resources and greater flexibility in reallocating time and effort. Post award, analysts concentrate on fewer industries, cover more firms within each industry, issue forecasts more frequently, expand their teams, and conduct more site visits. Surveys of analysts and institutional investors corroborate these findings, highlighting increases in site visits and roadshows following the award. Overall, the results suggest that the All‐Star award boosts analyst performance by fostering more concentrated coverage and improving access to both internal and external resources.

Is State Tax Policy Associated With State‐Level COVID ‐19 Restrictions?

Contemporary Accounting Research 2026 43(2), 680-706 open access
ABSTRACT During the COVID‐19 pandemic, states imposed restrictions intended to slow the spread of the virus. We investigate whether states' reliance on consumption tax revenue, relative to other tax revenue sources, is associated with the duration of COVID‐19 mobility restrictions. We find that states that are more dependent on consumption taxes experienced shorter durations of stay‐at‐home orders, restaurant closures, and bar closures. We conduct a series of analyses to mitigate concerns that state‐level political preferences and biases may be influencing our findings. Our findings suggest that anticipated shortfalls in consumption tax revenue may have shaped public health responses, consistent with tax system structures relating, unintentionally, to crisis management decisions.