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Are There Optimal Multiple-Reserve Requirements?

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2001 10(1), 85-104 open access
A number of developing countries have adopted deficit finance regimes involving multiple- (currency and bond) reserve requirements. A key characteristic of these regimes is that the real interest rates on reservable bonds are higher than the real return rates on currency, so that the nominal interest rates on the bonds are positive. We seek an efficiency-based explanation for the existence of multiple-reserve regimes and for this key characteristic. We find that there are economies in which some of the efficient allocations can be supported only by multiple-reserve requirements, and that positive nominal bond rates may be needed to support some of these allocations. We also find that there are economies in which allocations supported by multiple-reserve regimes with negative nominal bond rates Pareto dominate single-reserve allocations, even when the latter are efficient relative to other single-reserve allocations. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: E42, E58, H62.

The Taxing Task of Taxing Transnationals

Journal of Economic Literature 2001 39(3), 800-838 open access
Financial and real investment flexibility, tax competition, and superior economic information by transnationals both create a rationale for corporate income taxation and limit the effectiveness of such taxation. While these factors have led to a variety of transnational tax policies, such as deferral, double taxation, apportionment, and trade rules, very few of these institutional features have been integrated into tax competition and agency models. In this paper, I show how the integration of investment flexibility, tax competition, and agency issues is crucial to our understanding of corporate tax policies.

The market for catastrophe risk: a clinical examination

Journal of Financial Economics 2001 60(2-3), 529-571 open access
This paper examines the market for catastrophe event risk – i.e., financial claims that are linked to losses associated with natural hazards, such as hurricanes and earthquakes. Risk management theory suggests protection by insurers and other corporations against the largest cat events is most valuable. However, most insurers purchase relatively little cat reinsurance against large events, and premiums are high relative to expected losses. To understand why the theory fails, we examine transactions that look to capital markets, rather than traditional reinsurance markets, for risk-bearing capacity. We develop eight theoretical explanations and find the most compelling to be supply restrictions associated with capital market imperfections and market power exerted by traditional reinsurers.

Looking into the Black Box: A Survey of the Matching Function

Journal of Economic Literature 2001 39(2), 390-431 open access
This paper surveys the microfoundations, empirical evidence, and estimation issues underlying the aggregate matching function. There is no consensus yet on microfoundations but one is emerging on estimation. An aggregate, constant returns, Cobb-Douglas matching function with hires as a function of vacancies and unemployment has been successfully estimated for several countries. Recent work has utilized disaggregated data to go beyond aggregate estimates, with many refinements and suggestions for future research. The paper discusses spatial aggregation issues, and implications of on-the-job search and of the timing of stocks and flows for estimated matching functions.

Tiebout with Politics: Capital Tax Competition and Constitutional Choices

Review of Economic Studies 2001 68(1), 133-154 open access
This paper examines how capital tax competition affects jurisdiction formation. We describe a non-cooperative locational model of public goods provision choices, where the levels of taxation and the local public good varieties provided within jurisdictions are selected by majority voting, and where equilibrium jurisdictions consist of consumers with similar tastes. We show that interjurisdictional tax competition results in an enlargement of jurisdictional boundaries, and, even in the absence of intrajurisdictional transfers, can raise welfare for all members of a jurisdiction.

Social Mobility and the Demand for Redistribution: The Poum Hypothesis

Quarterly Journal of Economics 2001 116(2), 447-487 open access
This paper examines the often stated idea that the poor do not support high levels of redistribution because of the hope that they, or their offspring, may make it up the income ladder. This "prospect of upward mobility" (POUM) hypothesis is shown to be fully compatible with rational expectations, and fundamentally linked to concavity in the mobility process. A steady-state majority could even be simultaneously poorer than average in terms of current income, and richer than average in terms of expected future incomes. A first empirical assessment suggests, on the other hand, that in recent U. S. data the POUM effect is probably dominated by the demand for social insurance.<br> "In the future, everyone will be world-famous for fifteen minutes"<br> [Andy Warhol 1968]. © 2001 the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Auditors' Perceived Business Risk and Audit Fees: Analysis and Evidence

Journal of Accounting Research 2001 39(1), 35-43 open access
This study analyzes the relation between auditors' perceived business risk and audit fees to determine whether audit firms or their clients bear the expected legal costs of business risk. We predict that hourly audit fees and the number of audit hours are increasing in business risk. Using confidential survey data collected by a large international accounting firm for 422 audits, we find that high business risk increases the number of audit hours, but not the fee per hour. This implies that firms perceive firm‐level differences in business risk and obtain compensation through billing additional hours, not by raising the hourly charge.

Foreign-Affiliate Activity and U.S. Skill Upgrading

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2001 83(2), 362-376 open access
There has been little analysis of the impact of inward foreign direct investment (FDI) on U.S. wage inequality, even though the presence of foreign-owned affiliates in the United States has arguably grown more rapidly in significance for the U.S. economy than trade flows. Using U.S. manufacturing data from 1977 to 1994, we find that inward FDI has not contributed to U.S. within-industry skill upgrading. In fact, the 1980s wave of Japanese greenfield investments was significantly correlated with lower, not higher, relative demand for skilled labor. This casts doubt upon one possible channel of skill-biased technological change that was previously unexplored.

The Diversification Discount: Cash Flows Versus Returns

Journal of Finance 2001 56(5), 1693-1721 open access
ABSTRACT Diversified firms have different values from comparable portfolios of single‐segment firms. These value differences must be due to differences in either future cash flows or future returns. Expected security returns on diversified firms vary systematically with relative value. Discount firms have significantly higher subsequent returns than premium firms. Slightly more than half of the cross‐sectional variation in excess values is due to variation in expected future cash flows, with the remainder due to variation in expected future returns and to covariation between cash flows and returns.

Reversing the Keynesian Asymmetry

American Economic Review 2001 91(5), 1556-1563 open access
The assumption that nominal price adjustment is costly for firms (there are "menu costs") has generated a stream of important theoretical papers over the last decade or so. 1 In so far as this literature generates asymmetric adjustments, it provides a theoretical underpinning for the (old)Keynesian assumption that nominal prices are more flexible upward than downward. 2Yet, the empirical evidence, while confirming that asymmetri es exist, does not indicate the dominance of any particular form of asymmetry (see Dennis W. Carlton, 1986; Alan S. Blinder, 1991).In this paper we argue that the gap between theory and practice may be the result of the focus of menucost models on specific forms of market structure.Existing menu -cost models are based on the assumption of relatively uncompetitive market structures -monopoly, oligopoly, or monopolistic competition with a fixed number of firms.We widen the scope of the analysis by examining what we call a quasi-competitive industry and demonstrate that it displays a pattern of adjustment quite different from that found in other models.The Keynesian asymmetry is reversed, with nominal price being more flexible downward than upward. 3 We suggest therefore that a relationship exists between market structure and the pattern of nominal price adjustment.Since there is presumably a variety of market structures, this may help explain the inconclusive empirical evidence.We model the most competitive market configuration compatible with menu costs:Bertrand oligopoly in a dynamic setting with free entry.It is assumed that (a) an incumbent in one period can continue to sell at its existing nominal price in the next period without incurring any additional menu cost, whereas an entrant would have to incur a menu cost; and (b) among the firms willing to sell at the lowest price in any given period, one is chosen randomly to sell the