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The Joint Economic Committee's "Economic Policy Questionaire"

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1960 42(3), 334 open access
In September I958, the Subcommittee on Stabilization of the Joint Committeeof the U.S. Congress distributed an Economic Policy Questionnaire among some I500 college and university economists. The replies on the 65 questionnaires which were returned have been tabulated and appear in a report which has recently become available. It is the purpose of this note to discuss some of the significant aspects of the questionnaire.

Exchange Rate Adjustment and Relative Size of the Depreciating Bloc: A Comment

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1956 38(3), 323 open access
In his article, Exchange Rate Adjustment and Relative Size of the Depreciating Bloc, Professor Orcutt set out to attack the notion that by a large bloc versus the rest of the world generally would be substantially less effective than depreciation by a small country versus the rest of the world. Indeed, he goes so far as to conclude that for the case of actual large blocs, such as the dollar bloc or the sterling bloc, application of the model developed in this paper would seem to indicate that effectiveness of depreciation would be substantially greater than in the case of the small country versus the rest of the world. This conclusion merits evaluation.

Earnings Profile: Ability and Schooling: Comment

Journal of Political Economy 1972 80(3, Part 2), S139-S141 open access
John Hause's paper is addressed to the perplexing matters of how to disentangle the effects of and schooling on worker earnings, and of the effect of on earnings over a worker's lifetime.' His emphasis oil ability and schooling as determinants of earnings is surely not intended to deny that other variables also affect earnings or to deny that these other variables may also interact with and schooling level-but he barely touches on other variables or the possibility of interactions.

Costs and Benefits of Medical Research: A Case Study of Poliomyelitis

Journal of Political Economy 1971 79(3), 527-544 open access
The paper provides estimates of (1) research expenditures on poliomyelitis, (2) several forms of productivity benefits from applying the knowledge generated by the research, and (3) the costs of applying that knowledge. Internal rates of return are computed under a variety of assumptions, with results generally between 4 and 14 percent. The interrelatedness of research with procedures for applying the research findings is investigated; in the case of polio, the rate of return on research is found to be heavily influenced by the costs of application. Finally, a discussion is included of the likely allocative efficiency of private-market behavior when a collective-consumption good, such as research knowledge, requires the use of an individual-consumption good, such as a vaccination, for its application.

Castro and Economic Man, or What is a Prisoner Worth?

Journal of Political Economy 1963 71(2), 172-172 open access
In the October, 1961, issue of this Journal, my article on Valuation of Human Capital presented estimates of the capitalized values of expected lifetime earnings for males at various ages. At a 4 per cent rate of discount, the gross value (without deduction for consumption) of a male, age twenty to twenty-four, was $55,950. Thus, the gross value of 1,113 such men would be $62,272,350, or, rounded off, $62 million. The 1,113 is the number of Cuban prisoners from the Bay of Pigs invasion, and $62 million is the ransom demanded for many weeks by Fidel Castro!

Education and Investment in Human Capital

Journal of Political Economy 1962 70(5, Part 2), 106-123 open access
As technological developments have altered production techniques, types of mechanical equipment, and varieties of outputs, society has begun to recognize that economic progress involves not only changes in machinery but also in men – not only expenditures on equipment but also on people. Investment in people makes it possible to take advantage of technical progress as well as to continue that progress. Improvements in health make investment in education more rewarding by extending life expectancy. Investment in education expands and extends knowledge, leading to advances which raise productivity and improve health. With investment in human capital and non-human capital both contributing to economic growth and welfare and in what is probably an interdependent manner, more attention should be paid to the adequacy of the level of expenditures on people.

An Expected-Income Measure of Economic Welfare

Journal of Political Economy 1962 70(4), 355-367 open access
This paper considers some of the shortcomings of an income per I capita measure of and suggests an alternative capitalized value of expected future income per capita. Part I considers briefly some of the variables that a generally acceptable empirical welfare function should include and defines the capital value measure; Part II compares this measure of with the commonly used measure, income per capita; Part III presents and analyzes the results of computations of economic well-being for a number of United States cities, by both measures; Part IV considers some implications of a present value measure for interregional migration.

The Valuation of Human Capital

Journal of Political Economy 1961 69(5), 425-436 open access
The market mechanism places a value on those assets to which title can be transferred, and thus the market does evaluate land and capital goods in our economy. The market also provides rental values (wage rates) for labor but not capitalized values, and these are frequently essential for rational decision-making.2I t would be useful if we could develop a substitute for the market evaluation of labor resources. This involves establishing a conceptual framework for estimating the value of assets in the form of human capital. Utilizing such a framework, quantitative estimates of capital values of people as productive assets, as a function of their sex and age, can be made. The objectives of this paper are to point up the usefulness of the concept of human-capital value, and then to develop the methods, discuss some of the difficulties, and finally to present the results of actual calculations of capitalized values of (male) human assets for the year 1950. In addition, some implications of the results for decisions on resource allocation will be considered.

Monetary Returns to College Education, Student Ability, and College Quality

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1968 50(4), 491 open access
This paper attempts to shed new light on the extent to which college education brings financial returns. It recognizes the existence of a number of variables that are likely to affect the financial returns that education produces for a given person -particularly the student's ability and motivation, and the quality of his schooling. It attempts to isolate returns to education from returns to these other related variables.