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Search, Wage Bargains and Cycles

Review of Economic Studies 1987 54(3), 473 open access
The author uses an equilibrium model of job matchings with a Nash wage equation to derive the response of wages and unemployment to productivity shock. By endogenizing labor's threat point, he shows that wages absorb fully permanent shocks but only partially temporary shocks. Hence, unemployment responds to perceived temporary shocks but not to permanent shocks.

Looking into the Black Box: A Survey of the Matching Function

Journal of Economic Literature 2001 39(2), 390-431 open access
This paper surveys the microfoundations, empirical evidence, and estimation issues underlying the aggregate matching function. There is no consensus yet on microfoundations but one is emerging on estimation. An aggregate, constant returns, Cobb-Douglas matching function with hires as a function of vacancies and unemployment has been successfully estimated for several countries. Recent work has utilized disaggregated data to go beyond aggregate estimates, with many refinements and suggestions for future research. The paper discusses spatial aggregation issues, and implications of on-the-job search and of the timing of stocks and flows for estimated matching functions.

The Ins and Outs of European Unemployment

American Economic Review 2008 98(2), 256-262 open access
In this paper we study the contribution of inflows and outflows to the dynamics of unemployment in three European countries, the United Kingdom, France and Spain. We compare performance in these three countries making use of both administrative and labor force survey data. We find that the impact of the 1980s reforms in Britain is evident in the contributions of the inflow and outflow rates. The inflow rate became a bigger contributor after the mid 1980s, although its significance subsided again in the late 1990s and 2000s. In France the dynamics of unemployment are driven virtually entirely by the outflow rate, which is consistent with a regime with strict employment protection legislation. In Spain, however, both rates contribute significantly to the dynamics, very likely as a consequence of the prominence of fixed-term contracts since the late 1980s.