This paper examines the signalling implications of sinking funds and shows that under information asymmetry the sinking fund amortization rate provides a credible signal for the quality of the firm. In a separating equilibrium, better quality firms choose higher sinking fund amortization rates in their bond issues. A latent index model is proposed for testing the hypothesis of sinking fund signalling. Empirical evidence indicates that the sinking fund amortization rate signals the credit quality of the firm.

This paper develops a model of security broker behavior under price uncertainty. The model examines the process of matching orders and the determinants of equilibrium brokerage commission rates. Institutional arrangements, search efficiency, execution costs, volume, risk, and the unit price of the security are shown to affect equilibrium brokerage commission rates. Some stylized facts of security brokerage are explained.

This paper develops a model to estimate the implied default probability of corporate bonds. The model explicitly considers the risk averse behavior of investors to provide a more precise framework for estimating the implied default probability. A Kalman filter method is used to estimate time-varying risk premium associated with the investor's risk aversion. The results of nonlinear regressions indicate that previous risk-neutrality models consistently overestimate the implied default rates of corporate bonds. The results also suggest that investors may have been adequately compensated for investment in risky bonds.

This paper analyzes the adjustment processes of financial ratios in the presence of costly adjustment and information uncertainty. The paper proposes a generalized partial adjustment-adaptive expectations model to characterize dynamic financial ratio adjustment processes. The proposed model incorporates the persistence of changes in industry averages into the process of financial ratio adjustment. The Gauss-Newton nonlinear regression method is used to estimate the structural parameters of the generalized model. Results show that adjustment to target ratios is not instantaneous. Results also show that there are differences in the patterns of ratio adjustment for firms in different industries with different sizes.

Existing term structure models of defaultable bonds have often underestimated corporate bond spreads. A potential problem is that investors’ taxes are ignored in these models. We propose a pricing model that accounts for stochastic default probability and differential tax treatments for discount and premium bonds. By estimating parameters directly from bond data, we obtain significantly positive estimates for the income tax rate of a marginal corporate bond investor after 1986. This contrasts sharply with the previous finding that the implied tax rates for Treasury bonds are close to zero. Results show that taxes explain a substantial portion of corporate bond spreads.

Cheng F. Lee, Chunchi Wu, K. C. John Wei, The Heterogeneous Investment Horizon and the Capital Asset Pricing Model: Theory and Implications, The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 25, No. 3 (Sep., 1990), pp. 361-376

We examine the effects of liquidity, default and personal taxes on the relative yields of Treasuries and municipals using a generalized model with liquidity risk. The municipal yield model includes liquidity as a state factor. Using a unique transaction dataset, we estimate the liquidity risk of municipals and its effect on bond yields. Empirical evidence shows that municipal bond yields are strongly affected by all three factors. The effects of default and liquidity risk on municipal yields increase with maturity and credit risk. Liquidity premium accounts for about 9–13% of municipal yields for AAA bonds, 9–15% for AA/A bonds and 8–19% for BBB bonds. A substantial portion of the maturity spread between long- and short-maturity municipal bonds is attributed to the liquidity premium. Ignoring the liquidity risk effect thus results in a severe underestimation of municipal bond yields. Conditional on the effects of default and liquidity risk, we obtain implicit tax rates very close to the statutory tax rates of high-income individuals and institutional investors. Furthermore, these implicit income tax rates are quite stable across bonds of different maturities. Results show that including liquidity risk in the municipal bond pricing model helps explain the muni puzzle.