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Multilateral Debt Relief through the Eyes of Financial Markets

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2011 93(4), 1262-1288 open access
This paper conducts an event study of the impact of multilateral debt relief initiatives announcements on the stock prices of South African companies with subsidiaries in countries benefited by these initiatives. It shows that these prices increase significantly above those of other firms, especially around the launching of the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative. These price increases are consistent with lower expected levels of future taxation in the benefited countries and provide evidence of the economic consequences of multilateral debt relief that is robust to reverse causality between economic performance and the decision to grant debt relief.

The Politics of Financial Development: Evidence from Trade Liberalization

Journal of Finance 2008 63(3), 1469-1508 open access
Incumbents in various industries have different incentives to promote or oppose financial development. Changes in the relative strength of promoter and opponent industries thus result in changes in the political equilibrium level of financial development. We conduct an event study using a sample of 41 countries that liberalized trade during 1970 to 2000, and show that the strengthening of promoter relative to opponent industries resulting from liberalization is a good predictor of subsequent financial development. The benefits of developing the financial system are insufficient for financial development, and rents in particular hands appear to be necessary to achieve it.