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Assets, Subsistence, and The Supply Curve of Labor

American Economic Review 1973 open access
The supply curve of labor is now accepted as a matter of course by most economists. It has no doubt been perplexing to observe that the most commonly employed types of utility functions do not yield such curves under the usual textbook analysis of the problem.1 Particular preference maps have been found that generate backward bending curves;2 however, they are nonparametric, leading to difficulties of estimation, and upon closer examination seem to imply counter-intuitive results. We will show that taking into account the wealth position of an individual on the one hand and survival consideration on the other greatly expands the variety of shapes that can be derived for the supply curve from some simple utility functions. The use of a specific simple utility function also implies some severe restrictions on the form the supply curve can take, rendering it testable. Empirical evidence is shown to support the conclusion that the supply curve is monotonic. We will also show that the notion that the aggregate supply curve of labor slopes down rests, in part, on an error of aggregation, and that the empirical evidence usually cited in support of the negative slope, when correctly interpreted, cannot be so construed.

The Stability of Models of Money and Growth with Perfect Foresight

Econometrica 1973 41(6), 1043 open access
SEVERAL ECONOMISTS2 have argued that if individuals correctly perceive the rate of inflation so that their expectations are rational, then deterministic models of money and economic growth are unstable. In this view, points on the steady state equilibrium paths examined by Tobin [9] and others are saddlepoints, there being a tendency to diverge more and more from such a path as time elapses if the system is not initially on the path. The source of instability is understood most easily in the context of a model in which money is neutral, with real growth and capital accumulation both being exogenous with respect to the money supply and price level and, moreover, with both equaling zero. Time is continuous. The price level P and money supply M are assumed at each moment to satisfy the demand function for real balances