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The Second Welfare Theorem with Nonconvex Preferences

Econometrica 1988 56(2), 361 open access
The author proves several versions of the second welfare theorem for exchange economies with non convex preferences. One theorem asserts that, given a Pareto optimum f, one can find income transfers and a Walrasian quasiequilibrium g s uch that all but k agents are indifferent between f and g, where k is the number of commodities. Another theorem shows that, with probabil ity one in a particular formulation of a random sequence of economies , every Pareto optimum is close to a Walrasian equilibrium with incom e transfers.

A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances

Journal of Political Economy 1988 96(1), 116-131 open access
The capital asset pricing model provides a theoretical structure for the pricing of assets with uncertain returns. The premium to induc e risk-averse investors to bear risk is proportional to the nondivers ifiable risk, which is measured by the covariance of the asset return with the market portfolio return. In this paper, a multivariate, gen eralized-autoregressive, conditional, heteroscedastic process is esti mated for returns to bills, bonds, and stocks where the expected retu rn is proportional to the conditional covariance of each return with that of a fully diversified or market portfolio. It is found that the conditional covariances are quite variable over time and are a signi ficant determinant of the time-varying risk premia. The implied betas are also time varying and forecastable.