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Hedging labor income risk

Journal of Financial Economics 2012 105(3), 622-639 open access
We use a detailed panel data set of Swedish households to investigate the relation between their labor income risk and financial investment decisions. In particular, we relate changes in wage volatility to changes in the portfolio holdings for households that switched industries between 1999 and 2002. We find that households do adjust their portfolio holdings when switching jobs, which is consistent with the idea that households hedge their human capital risk in the stock market. The results are statistically and economically significant. A household going from an industry with low wage volatility to one with high volatility ceteris paribus decreases its portfolio share of risky assets by up to 35%, or $15,575.

Who Are the Value and Growth Investors?

Journal of Finance 2017 72(1), 5-46 open access
This paper investigates value and growth investing in a large administrative panel of Swedish residents. We show that, over the life cycle, households progressively shift from growth to value as they become older and their balance sheets improve. Furthermore, investors with high human capital and high exposure to macroeconomic risk tilt their portfolios away from value. While several behavioral biases seem evident in the data, the patterns we uncover are overall remarkably consistent with the portfolio implications of risk‐based theories of the value premium.

Retiree health benefits and municipal borrowing costs

Journal of Banking & Finance 2026 188, 107723 open access
U.S. public-sector employers have promised over $1 trillion in retiree health and other post-employment benefits (OPEBs). We show that states with greater OPEB liabilities and lower funding ratios have higher municipal bond yields. The impact of OPEB liabilities on bond yields is comparable in size to that of pension liabilities but depends on distinct factors including the risk of rising health costs, plan risk-sharing mechanisms, and the employers’ ability to re-negotiate the plans with employees. Our results highlight how the size, funding level, and contracting environment of OPEB plans shape the risk-return profile of municipal bond investments.