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Bids and asks in disequilibrium market microstructure: The case of IBM

Journal of Banking & Finance 1995 19(2), 323-345 open access
Microstructure research has recently forged two theoretical frameworks characterizing stock specialist behavior: a Walrasian inventory-theoretic individual optimization model sometimes with asymmetric information, and a queue-theoretic disequilibrium market model of the continuous auction process. To test the Brock and Kleidon (Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 16 (1992) 451–489) continuous auction process, two simultaneous autoregressive equations for ask prices and for bid prices are estimated using transactions data for IBM for calendar year 1988. The results support Brock and Kleidon's distinguishing implications — namely, increased trading volume raises the ask and lowers the bid, and a Hausman-type specification test fails to reject the exogeneity of order flows at the bid and the ask. Also, greater price volatility within a fifteen minute interval leads to both lower bids and lower asks as buyers are accorded a risk premium, consistent with Brown, Harlow and Tinic's (Journal of Financial Economics, 22 (1988) 355–385) uncertain information hypothesis for efficient markets.

Market fairness and efficiency: Evidence from the Tokyo Stock Exchange

Journal of Banking & Finance 2022 134, 106309 open access
In 2015 the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) implemented Arrowhead Renewal improvements (ARI) that reduced latency from about one millisecond to less than 0.5 ms. Simultaneously, the ARI introduced new risk management functions to improve market fairness by reducing manipulative trading strategies. We find a dramatic improvement in market fairness as proxied by marking-the-close incidents, which declined by 61.19%. We find a much smaller improvement in market efficiency. Specifically, there was a reduction in the effective (quoted) spread of 6.45% (5.79%). The most dramatic improvement in market quality (fairness and efficiency) was for low-tick-size and high-market-capitalization stocks.