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Why mutual funds “underperform”☆

Journal of Financial Economics 2011 99(3), 546-559 open access
I propose a parsimonious model that reproduces the negative risk-adjusted performance of actively managed equity mutual funds. In the model, a fund manager can generate state-dependent active returns at a disutility. Negative expected performance and mutual fund investing simultaneously arise in equilibrium because the active return the fund manager generates covaries positively with a component of the pricing kernel that the performance measure omits, consistent with recent empirical evidence. Using data on U.S. funds, I also document new empirical evidence consistent with the model's cross-sectional implications.

Selling Trading Advantages in Financial Markets

Review of Finance 2026 open access
We model the feedback loop between the sales of trading advantages (e.g., data or co-location services) and traders’ endogenous participation in financial markets. Whereas a trader’s benefit from purchasing trading advantages increases with aggregate market participation, the benefit from participating decreases with other traders’ purchases of trading advantages that impose negative externalities on counterparties. In equilibrium, sellers of trading advantages (e.g., data providers or securities exchanges) may maximize their profits by prompting inefficiently low market participation and liquidity. We study the consequences of altering the market structure and show that the resulting policy prescriptions contrast sharply with standard models.

Information spillovers and performance persistence for hedge funds

Journal of Financial Economics 2011 101(1), 1-17 open access
We present a simple model that rationalizes performance persistence in hedge fund limited partnerships. In contrast to the model for mutual funds of Berk and Green (2004), the learning in our model pertains to profitability associated with an innovative trading strategy or emerging sector, rather than ability specific to the fund manager. As a result of potential information spillovers, which would increase competition if informed investors were to partner with non-incumbent managers, incumbent managers will let informed investors benefit from increases in estimated profitability following high returns realized with the trading strategy or in the sector.

The Labor Market for Bankers and Regulators

Review of Financial Studies 2014 27(9), 2539-2579 open access
We propose a labor market model in which agents with heterogenous ability levels choose to work as bankers or as financial regulators. When workers extract intrinsic benefits from working in regulation (such as public-sector motivation or human capital accumulation), our model jointly predicts that bankers are, on average, more skilled than regulators and their compensation is more sensitive to performance. During financial booms, banks draw the best workers away from the regulatory sector and misbehavior increases. In a dynamic extension of our model, young regulators accumulate human capital and the best ones switch to banking in mid-career.

Financial Expertise as an Arms Race

Journal of Finance 2012 67(5), 1723-1759 open access
ABSTRACT We show that firms intermediating trade have incentives to overinvest in financial expertise. In our model, expertise improves firms’ ability to estimate value when trading a security. Expertise creates asymmetric information, which, under normal circumstances, works to the advantage of the expert as it deters opportunistic bargaining by counterparties. This advantage is neutralized in equilibrium, however, by offsetting investments by competitors. Moreover, when volatility rises the adverse selection created by expertise triggers breakdowns in liquidity, destroying gains to trade and thus the benefits that firms hope to gain through high levels of expertise.