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Immunization, Duration, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1977 12(5), 725
The asset and liability portfolios of financial institutions generate patterns of future cash flows that must conform to many restrictions in order to assure solvency and profitability. Many institutions, including insurance companies and pension funds, have definite and certain future commitments of funds. These institutions may wish to invest funds now so that their cash inflows (investment with accumulated earnings) will match their future commitments. In principle, the simplest way to meet future commitments exactly is to purchase single payment notes (or zero coupon bonds) which mature on the commitment dates. For long-term commitments, such instruments are not readily obtainable, at least in the United States. Most available bonds promise coupon payments over time so that these payments would have to be reinvested at unknown future interest rates in order to realize an accumulated sum at any future date when a commitment must be discharged. Since future interest rates are unknown at the initial moment of investment, it is not certain what accumulated earnings will be at future dates. In the absence of default, the risk of not meeting future commitments may be minimized by adopting investment strategies based on the concept of duration. Duration is a measure of the average maturity of an income stream; it is a weighted average of the dates at which the income payments are received, where the weights add to unity and are related to the present value of the income stream. Dating from the initial work of Macaulay [9] and Hicks [6], duration has been shown to be important in constructing portfolios that are hedged or ‘immunized’ from the possible ravages of interest rate uncertainty.

Liquidity Preference and Risk Aversion with an Exponential Utility Function: Comment

Review of Economic Studies 1974 41(2), 301
Journal Article Liquidity Preference and Risk Aversion with an Exponential Utility Function: Comment Get access G. O. Bierwag G. O. Bierwag University of Oregon Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 41, Issue 2, April 1974, Pages 301–302, https://doi.org/10.2307/2296720 Published: 01 April 1974

Bond Portfolio Strategy Simulations: A Critique

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1978 13(3), 519
In recent years, a number of studies have been published evaluating alternative bond portfolio strategies. These studies basically simulate risk-return characteristics for a variety of strategies designed for use by financial institutions. Typical strategies considered include portfolios of bonds that have laddered or barbell (dumbbell) maturity structures. In laddered strategies, bonds are spaced evenly among a number of consecutive maturities, while in barbell strategies, bonds are concentrated in short and long maturities. The results of these studies tend to differ and conflict. For example, in a recent article in this journal, Fogler, Groves, and Richardson (FGR) conclude that “dumbbell portfolio strategies are not as efficient as indicated by previous analyses.” Among the previous studies to which they refer is one by Watson, who concluded that “portfolios split between a spaced group of short maturity bonds and a longer investment security” (barbell portfolios) are most efficient. Similar results are reported by Wolf and by Bradley and Crane.