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Credit Market Constraints, Consumption Smoothing, and the Accumulation of Durable Production Assets in Low-Income Countries: Investments in Bullocks in India

Journal of Political Economy 1993 101(2), 223-244
In this paper we formulate and estimate a finite-horizon, structural dynamic model of agricultural investment behavior that incorporates the major features of low-income agricultural environments: income uncertainty, constraints on borrowing and rental markets, and the use of investment assets to generate income and smooth consumption. The model is fit to longitudinal Indian household data on farm profits, bullock stocks, and pump sets. The estimated structural parameters are used to assess the effects on the life cycle accumulation of bullocks, agricultural profits, and welfare associated with complete markets and bullock liquidity and with second-best policies that provide assured sources of income to farmers and weather insurance.

Taxation and the Structure of Labor Markets: The Case of Corporatism

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1993 108(2), 385-411 open access
We propose an explanation for the wide variation in rates of taxation across developed economies, based on differences in labor market institutions. In "corporatist" economies, which feature centralized labor markets, taxes on labor input will be less distortionary than when labor supply is determined individually. Since the level of labor supply is set by a small group of decision-makers, these individuals will recognize the linkage between the taxes that workers pay and the benefits that they receive. Labor tax burdens are indeed higher in more corporatist nations, and non-labor taxes are lower, which is consistent with this theory. There is also some evidence that the distortionary effects of labor taxes are lower in more corporatist economies.

Geographic Localization of Knowledge Spillovers as Evidenced by Patent Citations

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1993 108(3), 577-598 open access
We compare the geographic location of patent citations with that of the cited patents, as evidence of the extent to which knowledge spillovers are geographically localized. We find that citations to domestic patents are more likely to be domestic, and more likely to come from the same state and SMSA as the cited patents, compared with a “control frequency” reflecting the pre-existing concentration of related research activity. These effects are particularly significant at the local (SMSA) level. Localization fades over time, but only very slowly. There is no evidence that more “basic” inventions diffuse more rapidly than others.

Leapfrogging in International Competition: A Theory of Cycles in National Technological Leadership

American Economic Review 1993 83(5), 1211-1219
Endogeneous-growth theory suggests that technological change tends to reinforce the position of the leading nations. Yet sometimes this leadership role shifts. We suggest a mechanism that explains this pattern of "leapfrogging" as a response to occasional major changes in technology. When such a change occurs, the new technology does not initially seem to be an improvement for leading nations, given their extensive experience with older technologies. Lagging nations have less experience; the new technique allows them to use their lower wages to enter the market. If the new technique proves more productive than the old, leapfrogging of leadership occurs.

The Market Response to Pension Plan Terminations.

The Accounting Review 1993 68(1), 1-27
Analyzes stock returns associated with the announcement to terminate overfunded defined-benefit pension plans. Evaluation of the use of the reversion amount as a measure of wealth transfer from plan participants to shareholders; Resolution of inconsistencies across prior studies regarding the existence of a significant positive market reaction at the termination announcement.