Knowledge that Transforms

A two-date rational expectations model is analyzed. At the first date, traders can privately acquire a costly signal that provides imperfect information about a public report that will be issued at the second date. Equilibrium characterizations are provided for the fraction of traders that become informed and the informativeness of the first-date price, as well as the price change variance and the expected trading volume at the second date. Comparative statics identify how the above variables are influenced by changes in the information content of the public report, and in particular how market phenomena at the public release date are influenced by endogenous prior information acquisition and trading in response to the forthcoming public release.

We analyze Total Quality Management (TQM) from an economic and organizational perspective. We find that TQM is a new organizing technology that is science-based, non-hierarchical, and non-market-oriented. It improves productivity by encouraging the use of science in decision-making and discouraging counter-productive defensive behavior. It also encourages effective creation and use of specific knowledge throughout the organization. Effective implementation of TQM generally requires major changes in all three components of the organizational rules of the game, namely systems for allocating decision rights, performance measurement systems, and reward and punishment systems.

This paper examines accounting changes, costs of default, and accounting-based covenants violated by 130 firms reporting violations in annual reports. I find that managers of firms approaching default respond with income-increasing accounting changes and that the default costs imposed by lenders and the accounting flexibility available to managers are important determinants of managers' accounting responses. I also document that private lending agreements are the first violated, that net worth and working capital restrictions are the most frequently violated restrictions, and that in 52 percent of the cases lenders require concessions from borrowers to resolve default.

This paper investigates circumstances under which accruals are predicted to improve earnings' ability to measure firm performance, as reflected in stock returns. The importance of accruals is hypothesized to increase (i) the shorter the performance measurement interval, (ii) the greater the volatility of the firm's working capital requirements and investment and financing activities, and (iii) the longer the firm's operating cycle. Under each of these circumstances, cash flows are predicted to suffer more severely from timing and matching problems that reduce their ability to reflect firm performance. The results of empirical tests are consistent with these predictions.

Multi-bank holding companies file detailed financial statements on their subsidiary banks. The availability of these data allows for an empirical examination of the relation between accounting-based performance and personnel decision for lower-level managers. For our sample of Texas banks, we find that turnover of subsidiary bank managers is negatively related to subsidiary performance, while promotions are positively related to performance. Holding own-bank performance constant, turnover increases with holding-company performance, which is consistent with the view that turnover decisions are based on performance relative to a firm-specification benchmark.

This paper tests the demand-side prediction of Datar, Feltham, and Hughes (1991) that new issuers of securities are more likely to choose a high-quality auditor and retain a lower level of ownership as the firm-specific riskiness of future cash flows increases. Previous tests of this hypothesis using U.S. data have generally been inconclusive, perhaps because an increase in the riskiness of client cash flows simultaneously increases an auditor's litigation risk and supply price. Our results using data from a significantly different legal environment (Canada) are consistent with the predictions of Datar, Feltham, and Hughes.

Union Carbide's chemical leak in Bhopal, India during December 1984 resulted in approximately 4,000 deaths and 200,000 injuries. This study examines the market reaction of chemical firms other than Union Carbide to this catastrophe. Evidence indicates that a significant negative intra-industry reaction occurred. However, firms with more extensive environmental disclosures in their financial report prior to the chemical leak experienced a less negative reaction than firms with less extensive disclosures. This result suggests that investors interpreted such disclosures as a positive sign of the firm managing its exposure to future regulatory costs.

This paper examines the abnormal accruals of a sample of 94 firms that reported debt covenant violations in annual reports. We expect debt covenant restrictions to influence accounting choices in the year preceding and the year of violation. Time-series and cross-sectional models are used to estimate ‘normal’ accruals. In the year prior to violation, both models indicate that ‘abnormal’ total and working capital accruals are significantly positive. In the year of violation, there is evidence of positive abnormal working capital accruals after controlling for management changes and auditor going concern qualifications.

Using cross-sectional data from hospitals in Washington State, we test whether overhead costs are proportional to overhead activities. This assumption is at the heart of nearly all cost accounting systems, which implicitly assume that marginal cost is equal to average cost. Empirically, the proportionality hypothesis can be rejected for most of the overhead accounts. On average across the accounts, the average cost per unit of activity overstates marginal costs by about 40% and in some departments by over 100%. Thus, the average cost per activity should be used with a great deal of caution in decisions.

There are frequent expressions of concern in the accounting, economics, and legal literature about managers' conflicting duties and incentives in management buyouts. This study is motivated by a concern about the managerial incentive to reduce reported earnings prior to the announcement of the buyout proposal. Our analysis of a sample of 175 management buyouts during 1981-88 provides evidence of manipulation of discretionary accruals in the predicted direction in the year preceding the public announcement of management's intention to bid for control of the company.