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Do Long-Term Shareholders Benefit From Corporate Acquisitions?

Journal of Finance 1997 52(5), 1765
Using 947 acquisitions during 1970–1989, this article finds a relationship between the postacquisition returns and the mode of acquisition and form of payment. During a five-year period following the acquisition, on average, firms that complete stock mergers earn significantly negative excess returns of −25.0 percent whereas firms that complete cash tender offers earn significantly positive excess returns of 61.7 percent. Over the combined preacquisition and postacquisition period, target shareholders who hold on to the acquirer stock received as payment in stock mergers do not earn significantly positive excess returns. In the top quartile of target to acquirer size ratio, they earn negative excess returns.

Do Long‐Term Shareholders Benefit From Corporate Acquisitions?

Journal of Finance 1997 52(5), 1765-1790
Using 947 acquisitions during 1970–1989, this article finds a relationship between the postacquisition returns and the mode of acquisition and form of payment. During a five‐year period following the acquisition, on average, firms that complete stock mergers earn significantly negative excess returns of −25.0 percent whereas firms that complete cash tender offers earn significantly positive excess returns of 61.7 percent. Over the combined preacquisition and postacquisition period, target shareholders who hold on to the acquirer stock received as payment in stock mergers do not earn significantly positive excess returns. In the top quartile of target to acquirer size ratio, they earn negative excess returns.

A Coalition-Formation Approach to Equilibrium Federations and Trading Blocs

American Economic Review 1997 87(5), 940-956
We develop a model in which states may choose to form coalitions to capture efficiency gains from policy coordination. Joining a coalition entails setting the policy variable to maximize the coalition's aggregate payoff at a Nash equilibrium against nonmembers, and to commit to a transfer scheme to share the gains. With two states, the unique equilibrium structure is complete federation; with more than two states, incomplete federation can be the unique equilibrium. Interpreting this result in terms of customs unions, the trend to trading-bloc formation may be equilibrium behavior even with cooperation and transfers within customs unions.

Information Management in Incentive Problems

Journal of Political Economy 1997 105(4), 796-821 open access
We extend the standard procurement model to examine how an agent is optimally induced to acquire valuable planning information before he choose an unobservable level of cost‐reducing effort. Concerns about information acquisition cause important changes in standard incentive contracts. Reward structures with extreme financial payoffs arise, and super‐high‐powered contracts are coupled with contracts that entail pronounced cost sharing. However, if the principal can assign the planning and production tasks to two different agents, then all contracting distortions disappear and, except for forgone economies of scope, the principal achieves her most preferred outcome.

Common Agency and Coordination: General Theory and Application to Government Policy Making

Journal of Political Economy 1997 105(4), 752-769 open access
We develop a model of common agency with complete information and general preferences with nontransferable utility, and we prove that the principals' Nash equilibrium in truthful strategies implements an efficient action. We apply this theory to the construction of a positive model of public finance, where organized special interests can lobby the government for consumer and producer taxes or subsidies and targeted lump‐sum taxes or transfers. The lobbies use only the nondistorting transfers in their noncooperative equilibrium, but their intergroup competition for transfers turns into a prisoners' dilemma in which the government captures all the gain that is potentially available to the parties.

The Simple Economics of Easter Island: A Ricardo-Malthus Model of Renewable Resource Use

American Economic Review 1997
This paper presents a general equilibrium model of renewable resource and population dynamics related to the Lotka-Volterra predator-prey model, with man as the predator and the resource base as the prey. The authors apply the model to the rise and fall of Easter Island, showing that plausible parameter values generate a 'feast and famine' pattern of cyclical adjustment in population and resource stocks. Near-monotonic adjustment arises for higher values of a resource regeneration parameter, as might apply elsewhere in Polynesia. The authors also describe other civilizations that might have declined because of population overshooting and endogenous resource degradation.

Differential valuation implication of loan loss provisions across banks and fiscal quarters.

The Accounting Review 1997 72(1), 133-146
Prior research has found that loan loss provisions are positively associated with bank stock returns and future cash flows, conditional on less discretionary information about loan default. We find that these positive valuation implications obtain only for loan loss provisions for low regulatory capital banks in the fourth fiscal quarter. Our regulatory capital-based tests are motivated by the idea that increased discretionary loan loss provisions are plausibly good news only for banks which appear to have loan default risk problems based on prior information. Our fiscal quarter tests are motivated by findings in prior literature that suggest that managers have incentives to delay income decreasing accruals until the fourth quarter when the audit occurs, implying that income decreasing accruals are more likely, and therefore more expected, in the fourth quarter than in other fiscal quarters (Mendenhall and Nichols 1988; Boyd et al. 1994).

Symposium on Public Policy Issues in Finance

Journal of Finance 1997 52(3), 1181-1198
The thesis of this symposium, organized by James Bicksler, was that while finance theory will surely inform practitioners, it seems appropriate to pay some attention to the opposite flow: practitioners can inform theory. Contributors include a distinguished group of practitioners with extensive backgrounds in economics, and economists with extensive public policy experience: Martin Feldstein, Robert Glauber, David Mullins, and Steven Wallman. Their topics range from privatizing social security, to managing market crashes, to the regulatory agency cost problem, to regulatory constraints in a technologically advanced world.

Symposium on Public Policy Issues in Finance

Journal of Finance 1997 52(3), 1181
The thesis of this symposium, organized by James Bicksler, was that while finance theory will surely inform practitioners, it seems appropriate to pay some attention to the opposite flow: practitioners can inform theory. Contributors include a distinguished group of practitioners with extensive backgrounds in economics, and economists with extensive public policy experience: Martin Feldstein, Robert Glauber, David Mullins, and Steven Wallman. Their topics range from privatizing social security, to managing market crashes, to the regulatory agency cost problem, to regulatory constraints in a technologically advanced world.