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The Trading Decision and Market Clearing Under Transaction Price Uncertainty

Journal of Finance 1985 40(1), 21
This paper models an individual's trading decision, given: (1) his/her demand function to hold shares of an asset, (2) his/her expectation on what the market clearing price will be, and (3) the design of the market which determines how orders will be translated into trades. The particular market design we consider is the batched trading (periodic call) regime. Assuming investors are distributed according to their propensities to hold shares, we model the aggregation of orders to obtain market clearing values of price and volume and to show the way in which, with trading friction, these solutions differ from Pareto efficient values. The importance of this analysis for various issues concerning market design is noted.

Differential Information and Performance Measurement Using a Security Market Line

Journal of Finance 1985 40(2), 383-399
ABSTRACT An uninformed observer using the tools of mean variance and security market line analysis to measure the performance of a portfolio manager who has superior information is unlikely to be able to make any reliable inferences. While some positive results of a very limited nature are possible, e.g., when there is a riskless asset or when information is restricted to be “security specific,” in general anything is possible. In particular, a manager with superior information can appear to the observer to be below or above the security market line and inside or outside of the mean‐variance efficient frontier, and any combination of these is possible.

The Analytics of Performance Measurement Using a Security Market Line

Journal of Finance 1985 40(2), 401
Security market line (SML) analysis, while an important tool, has never been fully justified from a theoretical standpoint. Assuming symmetric information and an inefficient index, we show that SML analysis can be grossly misleading, since, in general, efficient and inefficient portfolios can plot above and below the SML. On a more positive note, if SML analysis uses the return on a marketed riskless asset for the zero-beta rate, efficient portfolios must plot above the SML. Nonetheless, arbitrarily inefficient portfolios also plot above the SML.

Differential Information and Performance Measurement Using a Security Market Line

Journal of Finance 1985 40(2), 383
An uninformed observer using the tools of mean variance and security market line analysis to measure the performance of a portfolio manager who has superior information is unlikely to be able to make any reliable inferences. While some positive results of a very limited nature are possible, e.g., when there is a riskless asset or when information is restricted to be “security specific,” in general anything is possible. In particular, a manager with superior information can appear to the observer to be below or above the security market line and inside or outside of the mean-variance efficient frontier, and any combination of these is possible.

The Analytics of Performance Measurement Using a Security Market Line

Journal of Finance 1985 40(2), 401-416
ABSTRACT Security market line (SML) analysis, while an important tool, has never been fully justified from a theoretical standpoint. Assuming symmetric information and an inefficient index, we show that SML analysis can be grossly misleading, since, in general, efficient and inefficient portfolios can plot above and below the SML. On a more positive note, if SML analysis uses the return on a marketed riskless asset for the zero‐beta rate, efficient portfolios must plot above the SML. Nonetheless, arbitrarily inefficient portfolios also plot above the SML.

Yes, The APT Is Testable

Journal of Finance 1985 40(4), 1173-1188
ABSTRACT The Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) has been proposed as an alternative to the mean‐variance Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). This paper considers the testability of the APT and points out the irrelevance for testing of the approximation error. We refute Shanken's objections, including his assertion that Roll's critique of the CAPM is applicable to the APT. We also explain the testability of the APT on subsets, and we explore the relationship between the APT and the CAPM.

An Investigation of Transactions Data for NYSE Stocks

Journal of Finance 1985 40(3), 723-739
ABSTRACT Using transactions data, the behavior of returns and characteristics of trades at the micro level is examined. A minute‐by‐minute market return series is formed and tested for normality and autocorrelation. Evidence of differences in return distributions is found among overnight trades, trades during the first 30 minutes following the market opening, trades at the close, and trades during the remainder of the day. The latter distribution is found to be normal. Unusually high returns and standard deviations of returns are found at the beginning and the end of the trading day. When the beginning‐and end‐of‐the‐day effects are omitted, autocorrelation in the market return series is reduced substantially. A number of patterns in trading are reported.

Capsule Commentaries.

The Accounting Review 1985 60(4), 774-784
The article discusses several books about various topics. Some of the books are: "Deterring Fraud: The Internal Auditor's Perspective," by W. Steve Albrecht, Ketth R. Howe and Marshall B. Romney, "Management Control in Nonprofit Organizations," 3rd ed., by Robert N. Anthony and David W. Young, "Business Expansion Scheme," by Brian Armitage, "Bank Accounts: A World Guide to Confidentiality," by Edouard Chambost, translated by Peter Walton and Margaret Thompson, "The Tangled Web of Price Variation Accounting: The Development of Ideas Underlying Professional Prescriptions in Six Countries," by F.L. Clarke, "Fore-Runners of Realizable Values Accounting in Financial Reporting," edited by G.W. Dean and M.C. Wells, "Careers in Accounting," by Gloria L. Gaylord and Glenda E. Ried, "Bridges to Infinity: The Human Side of Mathematics," by Michael Guillen, "Bond Duration and Immunization: Early Developments and Recent Contributions," edited by Gabriel A. Hawawini, "Foundations: The Greenwood Encyclopedia of American Institutions," edited Harold M. Keele and Joseph C. Kiger, "The Impact of Taxes on U.S. Citizens Working Abroad," by Ernest R. Larkins.