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Dynamic Insurance with Private Information and Balanced Budgets

Review of Economic Studies 1995 62(4), 577-595
This paper studies a dynamic insurance problem with bilateral asymmetric information and balanced budgets. There are two infinitely-lived agents in our model, both risk averse, and each has an i.i.d. random endowment stream which is unobservable to the other. In each period, each agent must have a non-negative consumption and together they must consume the entire aggregate endowment. Dynamic incentive compatibility in the Nash sense is defined. We give sufficient and necessary conditions for the existence of a constrained efficient contract. We show that a constrained efficient contract can be characterized in a Bellman equation. We demonstrate that the long-run distribution of expected utilities of each agent is not degenerate. We also develop an algorithm for computing the efficient contract and, in a numerical example, we find that the consumption processes of the agents form stationary Markov chains.

Modelling Nonlinear Relationships between Extended-Memory Variables

Econometrica 1995 63(2), 265
A definition of extended memory is provided, generalizing the ideas of long memory and persistence, based on the properties of forecasts over long horizons. Specification of nonlinear models with variables having extended memory is considered in terms of the balance of an equation and it is suggested that many more types of misspecification can occur than with usual situations and could produce important specification errors. Tests of linearity and standard methods of nonlinear modeling are briefly considered and advice is given on circumstances in which they can be used. Copyright 1995 by The Econometric Society.

Nonlinear Econometric Models with Deterministically Trending Variables

Review of Economic Studies 1995 62(3), 343
This paper considers an alternative asymptotic framework to standard sequential asymptotics for nonlinear models with deterministically trending variables. The asymptotic distributions of generalized method of moments estimators and corresponding test statistics are derived using this framework. The asymptotic distributions are shown to be the same with deterministically trending variables as with non-trending variables. That is, the distributions are normal and chi-squared respectively. The asymptotic covariance matrices of the estimators, however, are found to depend on the form of the trends. These findings provide a justification for the use of standard asymptotic approximations in nonlinear models even when the variables have deterministic trends.

Returns to franchising

Journal of Corporate Finance 1995 2(1-2), 133-155
The literature on contracts predicts that some principals will pay agents rents, that is, amounts larger than those necessary to keep the agent in the contract. We calculated the earnings of the average franchisee in seventy franchise systems in various industries to determine whether rents are paid as a solution to the agency problem in franchise contracts. We found that many but not all systems paid rents, both ex post and ex ante, to the average franchisee. The results confirm those of Kaufmann and Lafontaine (1994), who found rents associated with McDonald's, but the magnitude of rents within the systems we study was generally much lower than those of McDonald's.

The Effects of Time Pressure and Knowledge on Key Word Selection Behavior in Tax Research

The Accounting Review 1995 70(1), 49-70
[This paper considers how time pressure and knowledge separately and jointly affect tax researchers' ability to locate relevant authority. Tax professionals and graduate tax students participated in a computer interactive experiment in which subjects selected relevant key words relating to a partnership tax issue. The results indicate that declarative and procedural knowledge enhance tax researchers' ability to select relevant key words in a time-restricted task. The most significant finding is that subjects with procedural knowledge responded more positively to time pressure than did subjects without such knowledge, thereby demonstrating an interaction between time pressure and knowledge.]

Evaluating the performance of value versus glamour stocks The impact of selection bias

Journal of Financial Economics 1995 38(3), 269-296
We examine whether sample selection bias explains the difference in returns between ‘value’ stocks (high book-to-market ratios) and ‘glamour’ stocks (low book-to-market ratios). Selection bias on Compustat is not a severe problem: for CRSP primary domestic firms, the proportion missing from Compustat is not large and the average return is not very different from the Compustat sample. Mechanical problems with matching Cusip identifiers account for much of the discrepancy between CRSP and Compustat. The superior performance of value stocks is confirmed for the top quintile of NYSE-Amex stocks, using a sample free from selection bias.