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Diamonds are a Government's Best Friend: Burden-free Taxes on Goods Valued for their Values: Comment

American Economic Review 1988
In a recent article (Yew-Kwang Ng, 1987), Ng demonstrates that taxes on goods whose utility is derived entirely from their market value (diamond goods) can provide revenue to the government with no cost to the taxpayers aside from the administrative costs of collecting them. Such a tax decreases the quantity of the good produced while proportionally increasing the value per unit quantity. Since the utility of the good depends only on its value, the smaller quantity produced (after the tax is imposed) produces the same total utility to consumers as the previous larger quantity. The revenue collected by the government is paid, in effect, from the reduced cost of producing a smaller quantity of the good. Ng mentions a number of earlier discussions of goods whose utility comes in part from their price. He is apparently unaware of an analysis which is both much earlier and much closer to his than any he cites. In Chapter 13 of the Principles of Political Economy, David Ricardo wrote:

The Choice Among Medical Insurance Plans: Comment

American Economic Review 1988
There are qualifications to the theoretical comparison between Health Maintenance Organizations (HMOs) and conventional insurance (CI), presented in a recent contribution to this Review by Yael Benjamini and Yaov Benjamini (1986). These qualifications make difficult the acceptance, as an unambiguous prediction of economic theory, the authors' conclusions regarding the relative attractiveness of the two methods of insurance to groups of individuals with heterogeneous demands. The authors' arguments are summarized as follows. For homogeneous insureds, an HMO can resemble ideal medical insurance depending on the extent to which the prearranged medical care provided in each health state approximates the desired level for the homogeneous group. Under such conditions, an HMO would be superior to a CI plan in that it is free of the moral that causes a welfare loss under the latter. However, if insureds are heterogeneous in terms of tastes, or any other factor that affects... a welfare loss will also result under the HMO. Because the quantity of medical care provided for a given health state is fixed for an HMO, it cannot satisfy the divergent medical care demands of all insureds in a heterogeneous group. In contrast, the greater flexibility afforded by CI enables insureds with divergent demands to more closely achieve their desired levels of medical care consumption. The welfare loss due to moral hazard is assumed to be little affected by divergent demands, and no other potential effects of demand heterogeneity on the desirability of CI are mentioned. The implication of the authors' analysis is that greater heterogeneity among insureds generally increases preferences for a CI plan over an HMO.' The analysis presented by Benjamini and Benjamini (1986) contains two omissions that pertain to the effect of heterogeneous demand on the desirability of a CI plan. First, heterogeneous demand causes cross-subsidization under a CI plan over and above that due to the incidence of health state. Low demanders subsidize high demanders under CI, whereas, no such cross-subsidization exists under HMOs. This makes ambiguous the effect of heterogeneous demand on general preferences for the two methods of insurance. Second, there appears to be no theoretical basis for assuming that the size of the welfare loss under CI is virtually unaffected by heterogeneous demand. Heterogeneous demand can be shown to increase the welfare loss under a CI plan when this loss is more accurately measured. Thus, the effect of heterogeneous demand, at least in theory, is for this reason much more ambiguous than the Benjamini and Benjamini article implies. The first point is demonstrated with the use of Figure 1. A single, precisely defined unhealthy state, X, and the divergent medical care demands of two representative individuals, A and B, are assumed. A and B are identical in terms of health risk but have differing demands for medical care because of differences in income, tastes, etc. Their respective demands for medical care under a specific CI plan are depicted in Figure 1. Zero administrative costs and a coinsurance rate of .2 are assumed. The price per unit of care is assigned a value of 10 and is equal to marginal cost, which is assumed constant. Under these constraints, individual A de-

Bubbles, Fads and Stock Price Volatility Tests: A Partial Evaluation

Journal of Finance 1988 open access
This is a summary and interpretation of some of the literature on stock price volatility that was stimulated by Leroy and Porter 28 and Shiller 40. It appears that neither small-sample bias, rational bubbles nor some standard models for expected returns adequately explain stock price volatility. This suggests a role for some nonstandard models for expected returns. One possibility is a “fads” model in which noise trading by naive investors is important. At present, however, there is little direct evidence that such fads play a significant role in stock price determination.

Bubbles, Fads and Stock Price Volatility Tests: A Partial Evaluation

Journal of Finance 1988 43(3), 639-656
This is a summary and interpretation of some of the literature on stock price volatility that was stimulated by Leroy and Porter [28] and Shiller [40] . It appears that neither small‐sample bias, rational bubbles nor some standard models for expected returns adequately explain stock price volatility. This suggests a role for some nonstandard models for expected returns. One possibility is a “fads” model in which noise trading by naive investors is important. At present, however, there is little direct evidence that such fads play a significant role in stock price determination.

Estimates of the Returns to Quality and Coauthorship in Economic Academia

Journal of Political Economy 1988 96(4), 855-866
Salaries of academic economists are studied to determine if individuals receive differential returns to publishing articles of varying quality and to coauthored versus single-authored articles. Estimates based on detailed data and a flexible nonlinear least-squares procedure indicate that substantial returns to quality exist and that an individual's return from a coauthored paper with n authors is approximately 1/n times that of a single-authored paper.

Legal Restrictions, "Sunspots," and Peel's Bank Act: The Real Bills Doctrine versus the Quantity Theory Reconsidered

Journal of Political Economy 1988 96(1), 3-19
[This paper considers two questions: (i) what is the purpose of legal restrictions intended to separate "money" from "credit markets," and (ii) is such a separation desirable? It is argued that historical legal restrictions meant to achieve such a separation were designed to preclude the occurrence of sunspot equilibria. It is also shown that a coherent model can be constructed in which sunspot equilibria exist in the absence of legal restrictions, but not if money and credit markets are separated. Nevertheless, there is no obvious welfare justification for such a separation.]

A Neoclassical Model of Unemployment and the Business Cycle

Journal of Political Economy 1988 96(3), 593-617
This paper investigates a general equilibrium model of unemployment and the business cycle in which specialization of labor plays a key role. A rational expectations equilibrium with fully flexible wages and prices can exhibit unemployment in which the marginal product of employed workers exceeds the reservation wage of those who are without jobs. Workers are unemployed either because they are in the process of relocating for a better job or because they are waiting for conditions in the depressed sector to improve. Moreover, seemingly small disruptions in the supplies of primary commodities such as energy could be the source of fluctuations in aggregate employment and can exert surprisingly large effects on real output.