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Natural disasters and analysts' earnings forecasts

Journal of Corporate Finance 2021 66, 101860
The effects of natural disasters on capital markets have been investigated by limited evidence even though these calamities bring considerable damages or loss of life. To fill this gap, we investigate the impacts of natural disasters, particularly earthquakes, on security analysts' earnings forecasts for affected firms in China. We obtain three key findings. First, analysts' optimism significantly decreases for firms located in neighborhood areas. Second, earthquakes do not significantly affect firm earnings and stock returns, thereby indicating that post-earthquake analyst pessimism is not based on rational judgment. Third, media attention promotes irrational pessimism among analysts, and post-earthquake pessimism is a result of heuristics bias attributable to psychological shocks. However, analysts correct the bias after initial irrational forecasts. Taken together, our findings contribute to the broader psychology and economics literature on the effects of natural disasters on analyst forecasts.

CEOs' hometown connections and access to trade credit: Evidence from China

Journal of Corporate Finance 2020 62, 101574
In this study, we investigate how informal institutions, namely, chief executive officers' hometown connections with suppliers, impact firms' access to trade credit. Using unique data manually collected from China, we find that hometown connections significantly increase access to trade credit. The hometown effect is more pronounced for non-state-owned firms, firms in provinces with poorly developed financial institutions, and firms whose chief executive officers come from hometowns with a strong merchant guild culture or hold an important position in the hometown's chamber of commerce. We suggest two plausible channels for the hometown effect: information and social trust. Overall, this study contributes to the literature by documenting how hometown connections help firms to obtain external financing in emerging markets.

Collective empathy could leap through time: War heritage and corporate green innovation

Journal of Corporate Finance 2025 93, 102808
The study investigates the impact of collective empathy on corporate green innovation from the perspective of war heritage. Drawing on stakeholder theory and empathy theory, we argue that collective empathy fosters corporate green innovation by generating public emotional empathy toward local descendants of war victims and enhance cognitive empathy within firms regarding the environmental needs of local communities. Analyzing data from Chinese-listed firms in heavily polluting industries between 2010 and 2019, we find that collective empathy significantly encourages green innovation efforts. Mechanism analyses indicate that collective emotional and cognitive empathy serve as key pathways in this relationship. Furthermore, state-owned ownership and formal institutions reinforce and complement the positive effect of collective empathy on corporate green innovation.