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Trust Busting: The Effect of Fraud on Investor Behavior

Review of Financial Studies 2018 31(4), 1341-1376
We study the importance of trust in the investment advisory industry by exploiting the geographic dispersion of victims of the Madoff Ponzi scheme. Residents of communities that were exposed to the fraud subsequently withdrew assets from investment advisers and increased deposits at banks. Additionally, exposed advisers were more likely to close. Advisers who provided services that can build trust, such as financial planning advice, experienced fewer withdrawals. Our evidence suggests that the trust shock was transmitted through social networks. Taken together, our results show that trust plays a critical role in the financial intermediation industry.

Labor Representation in Governance as an Insurance Mechanism

Review of Finance 2018 22(4), 1251-1289
We hypothesize that labor participation in governance helps improve risk sharing between employees and employers. It provides an ex post mechanism to enforce implicit insurance contracts protecting employees against adverse shocks. Results based on German establishment-level data show that skilled employees of firms with 50% labor representation on boards are protected against layoffs during adverse industry shocks. They pay an insurance premium of 3.3% in the form of lower wages. Unskilled blue-collar workers are unprotected against shocks. Our evidence suggests that workers capture all the gains from improved risk sharing, whereas shareholders are no better or worse off than without codetermination.

The Effects of Multitasking on Auditors’ Judgment Quality

Contemporary Accounting Research 2018 35(1), 314-333
Auditors must frequently multitask in order to complete their work efficiently. However, the potential impact of multitasking on auditors’ judgment quality is poorly understood. Using Ego Depletion Theory and a laboratory experiment, we predict and find that auditors become less able to identify seeded errors after multitasking, and that this effect is most prominent in the identification of conceptual, rather than mechanical, errors. These negative consequences of multitasking are mitigated when auditors are exposed to an intervention based on a theoretical countermeasure of replenishing depleted self‐control resources, in that multitasking auditors identify more seeded errors with the intervention than without. Given that multitasking is a pervasive feature of the current audit environment, these findings have direct implications for audit practice. Beyond identifying multitasking as a cause of impaired performance in auditing, this study's results provide initial evidence that such negative effects can be mitigated, resulting in improved audit quality and, by extension, improved financial statement quality.

Analysts’ GAAP earnings forecasts and their implications for accounting research

Journal of Accounting and Economics 2018 66(1), 46-66
We use newly available GAAP forecasts to document that traditionally-identified GAAP forecast errors contain 37% measurement error. Correcting for this measurement error, we settle a long-standing debate regarding investor preference for GAAP versus non-GAAP earnings and provide strong evidence of a preference for non-GAAP earnings. We also revisit the use of non-GAAP exclusions to meet analysts’ forecasts when GAAP earnings fall short. Results indicate that 34% of these traditionally-identified meet-or-beat firms are misidentified due to measurement error, and this error masks evidence that firms more frequently exclude transitory rather than recurring expenses for meet-or-beat purposes.

Learning to Take Risks? The Effect of Education on Risk-Taking in Financial Markets

Review of Finance 2018 22(3), 951-975
We investigate whether acquiring more primary education has long-term effects on risk-taking behavior in financial markets. Using exogenous variation in education from a compulsory schooling change combined with wealth data for the Swedish population, we estimate the effect of education on stock market participation and on the share of financial wealth invested in stocks, conditional on participation. For men, an extra year of education increases market participation by two percentage points and the share of financial wealth allocated to stocks by 10%. We find suggestive evidence that greater financial wealth is a potential channel through which education increases participation, consistent with the existence of fixed costs. Lower risk aversion is a potential channel through which education increases the stock share. The reform has less effect on female schooling attainment and there is no evidence that this additional education affects women’s asset allocation. There is no evidence of spillovers to children.

Divisional buyouts by private equity and the market for divested assets

Journal of Corporate Finance 2018 53, 21-37
We study the role and performance of private equity (PE) in corporate asset sales. Corporate sellers obtain significantly positive excess returns in PE deals, gains in wealth significantly greater than for intercorporate asset sales. Based on exit valuations for 98% of PE deals, we find gains in enterprise value in buyouts are significantly greater than for benchmark firms. Corporate seller excess returns are positively correlated with subsequent gains in asset enterprise value. A parsimonious auction model suggests that only restructuring capabilities of PE (not acquisition of undervalued assets) can explain the pattern of the gains generated in these PE deals.

Regulatory effects on Analysts' conflicts of interest in corporate financing activities: Evidence from NASD Rule 2711

Journal of Corporate Finance 2018 48, 658-679
We investigate the effects of NASD Rule 2711 on analysts' conflict of interest in corporate financing activities. Specifically, we examine the relations (1) between analysts' guidance in earnings forecasts and recommendations and corporate external financing and (2) between external financing and future stock returns during the 1994–2010 period. We find a positive relation of analysts' guidance in earnings forecasts and recommendations (especially long-term growth forecast and recommendations) and corporate financing activities, but the relation is weaker in the post-Rule period than in the pre-Rule period. We also find a negative relation between corporate external financing and future stock returns, but the relation is weaker in the post-Rule period. Moreover, the changes of these relations after the implementation of the Rule are greater for firms with greater conflicts of interest. Our empirical results suggest that Rule 2711 has reduced the extent of analysts' conflicts of interest in corporate financing activities.

Can’t Pay or Won’t Pay? Unemployment, Negative Equity, and Strategic Default

Review of Financial Studies 2018 31(3), 1098-1131
This paper uses new data from the PSID to quantify the relative importance of negative equity versus ability to pay, in driving mortgage defaults between 2009 and 2013. These data allow us to construct household budgets sets that provide better measures of ability to pay. Changes in ability to pay have large estimated effects. Job loss has an equivalent effect on the propensity to default as a 35% decline in equity. Strategic motives are also found to be quantitatively important, as we estimate more than 38% of households in default could make their mortgage payments without reducing consumption.