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The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty

Journal of Finance 2024 79(1), 413-458 open access
We propose a text‐based method for measuring the cross‐border propagation of large shocks at the firm level. We apply this method to estimate the expected costs, benefits, and risks of Brexit and find widespread reverberations in listed firms in 81 countries. International (i.e., non‐U.K.) firms most exposed to Brexit uncertainty (the second moment) lost significant market value and reduced hiring and investment. International firms also overwhelmingly expected negative first‐moment impacts from the U.K.'s decision to leave the European Union (EU), particularly related to regulation, asset prices, and labor market impacts of Brexit.

Metering Problems and Resource Allocation

The Accounting Review 2026 101(4), 1-29
Why do seemingly similar firms show such different productivity? We argue that unresolved measurement problems, i.e., the persistent incongruity between economic transactions and their accounting representation, affect resource allocation. Our metric quantifies technical accounting terminology in firm disclosures to capture these unresolved measurement problems, UMPs, using over 90,000 10-Ks. A one standard deviation increase in UMP is associated with lower capital investment (6 percent), R&D (5 percent), and hiring growth (30 percent). We also find a reduction in total factor productivity (5 percent) and Tobin’s q (4 percent). Further, CEO compensation sensitivity to accounting performance decreases with UMP, whereas stock-based sensitivity remains unaffected. Our inferences continue to hold when we use a Bartik instrument, which exploits differential exposure to GAAP changes to isolate accounting-driven variation from the firm’s underlying economics. The results suggest unresolved measurement problems are a significant friction in resource allocation. Data Availability: The UMP dataset is available upon request. Please contact the first author.