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The Relation Between Security Returns, Firm Earnings, and Industry Earnings*

Contemporary Accounting Research 1996 13(2), 607-629
In this paper we examine the relation between a firm's stock return and the earnings of other firms in the same industry, controlling for the firm's own earnings. We present a model in which the sign of this relation depends on the relative uncertainty there is about the size of the total industry value versus the division of that value between firms. We document considerable cross‐industry variation in the relation between a firm's return and other firms' earnings, and demonstrate empirically that the sign of the relation depends on information provided prior to the industry earnings announcement period. Résumé. Les auteurs examinent la relation entre le rendement de l'action d'une société et les bénéfices des entreprises appartenant au même secteur d'activité, en veillant à contrôler les bénéfices de la société en question. Dans le modèle qu'ils proposent, le sens (positif ou négatif) de cette relation dépend de l'incertitude relative qui caractérise l'importance de la valeur globale du secteur d'activité par rapport au partage de cette valeur entre les entreprises qui le constituent. Les auteurs ont recueilli quantité d'information confirmant l'existence d'une forte variation dans la relation entre le rendement des actions d'une entreprise et les bénéfices des autres entreprises d'un même secteur; ils démontrent aussi empiriquement que le sens de la relation dépend de l'information produite avant la période où les bénéfices du secteur sont communiqués.

Empirical Evidence on the Evolution of International Earnings

The Accounting Review 2002 77(s-1), 115-133
We examine whether cross-country differences in earnings-to-price multiples have changed between 1987–1992 and 1994–1999. Our results suggest that earnings multiples became more similar over this time period for the jurisdictions we analyze, although systematic differences remain. Economic determinants of earnings multiples (e.g., growth rates, interest rates, and returns) do not exhibit similar convergence and do not appear to explain the changes. The convergence is robust to controls for cash flow multiples and is apparent in the valuation of accruals. Accrual/cash flow correlations have also become more similar and generally less negative, suggesting a reduction in earnings smoothing. Overall, our evidence suggests convergence in accounting practice.

Concentrated Control, Analyst Following, and Valuation: Do Analysts Matter Most When Investors Are Protected Least?

Journal of Accounting Research 2004 42(3), 589-623
This paper uses a sample of more than 2,500 firms from 27 countries to investigate the relation among ownership structure, analyst following, investor protection, and valuation. We find that analysts are less likely to follow firms with potential incentives to withhold or manipulate information, such as when the family/management group is the largest control rights blockholder. Furthermore, this relation is stronger for firms from low‐shareholder‐protection countries. Using valuation regressions that take into account potential endogeneity between analyst following and firm value, we find a positive valuation effect when analysts cover firms that have both potentially poor internal governance and weak country‐level external governance. Overall, our findings suggest that corporate governance plays an important role in analysts' willingness to follow firms and that increased analyst following is associated with higher valuations, particularly for firms likely to face governance problems.

Voluntary Disclosure and Equity Offerings: Reducing Information Asymmetry or Hyping the Stock?*

Contemporary Accounting Research 2000 17(4), 623-662
We examine corporate disclosure activity around seasoned equity offerings and its relationship to stock prices. Beginning six months before the offering, our sample issuing firms dramatically increase their disclosure activity, particularly for the categories of disclosure over which firms have the most discretion. The increase is significant after controlling for the firm's current and future earnings performance and tends to be largest for firms with selling shareholders participating in the offering. However, there is no change in the frequency of forward‐looking statements prior to the equity offering, something that is expressly discouraged by the securities law. Firms that maintain a consistent level of disclosure experience price increases prior to the offering, and only minor price declines at the offering announcement relative to the control firms, suggesting that disclosure may have reduced the information asymmetry inherent in the offering. Firms that substantially increase their disclosure activity in the six months before the offering also experience price increases prior to the offering relative to the control firms, but suffer much larger price declines at the announcement of their intent to issue equity, suggesting that the disclosure increase may have been used to “hype the stock” and the market may have partially corrected for the earlier price increase. Firms that maintain a consistent disclosure level have no unusual return behavior relative to the control firms subsequent to the announcement, while the firms that “hyped” their stock continue to suffer negative returns, providing further evidence that the increased disclosure activity may have been hype, and suggesting that the hype may have been successful in lowering the firms' cost of equity capital.

The evolution of 10-K textual disclosure: Evidence from Latent Dirichlet Allocation

Journal of Accounting and Economics 2017 64(2-3), 221-245
We document marked trends in 10-K disclosure over the period 1996–2013, with increases in length, boilerplate, stickiness, and redundancy and decreases in specificity, readability, and the relative amount of hard information. We use Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) to examine specific topics and find that new FASB and SEC requirements explain most of the increase in length and that 3 of the 150 topics—fair value, internal controls, and risk factor disclosures—account for virtually all of the increase. These three disclosures also play a major role in explaining the trends in the remaining textual characteristics.