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The effect of large block transactions on security prices: A cross-sectional analysis

Journal of Financial Economics 1987 19(2), 237-267
This paper documents the effects of large (block) transactions on the prices of common stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange. We examine whether mean temporary and permanent price effects associated with large and small transactions differ and whether the price effects vary cross-sectionally according to the size of the block. Alternative definitions of block size are investigated – percentage of the equity traded, block volume in relation to normal trading volume, and dollar value of the block. The results suggest that price effects are predominantly temporary for seller-initiated transactions and permanent for buyer-initiated transactions.

Predicting Audit Qualifications with Financial and Market Variables

The Accounting Review 1987 62(3), 431-454
[This paper investigates the extent to which models based on financial and market variables predict auditors' decisions to issue qualified audit reports in situations involving contingencies or uncertainties. A probit model is developed with the dependent variable indicating whether the firm received a qualified opinion, and the independent variables representing publicly available financial and market variables. The estimated model distinguishes between unqualified (clean) opinions and first-time qualifications and between types of qualifications (e.g., going concern, litigation, asset realizing, and multiple qualifications) in the year of the qualification, for both an estimation sample and a holdout sample. The predictive accuracy of the estimated model is evaluated in terms of misclassification costs for alternative costs of type I and type II errors and for specific prior probabilities of qualified and clean opinions.]

Predicting Audit Qualifications with Financial and Market Variables.

The Accounting Review 1987 62(3), 431-454
This paper investigates the extent to which models based on financial and market variables predict auditors' decisions to issue qualified audit reports in situations involving contingencies or uncertainties. A probit model is developed with the dependent variable indicating whether the firm received a qualified opinion, and the independent variables representing publicly available financial and market variables. The estimated model distinguishes between unqualified (clean) opinions and first-time qualifications and between types of qualifications (e.g., going concern, litigation, asset realizing, and multiple qualifications) in the year of the qualification, for both an estimation sample and a holdout sample. The predictive accuracy of the estimated model is evaluated in terms of misclassification costs for alternative costs of type I and type II errors and for specific prior probabilities of qualified and clean opinions.

The Effect of Bond Rating Agency Announcements on Bond and Stock Prices.

Journal of Finance 1992 47(2), 733-52
This paper examines daily excess bond returns associated with announcements of additions to Standard and Poor's Credit Watch List, and to rating changes by Moody's and Standard and Poor's. Reliably nonzero average excess bond returns are observed for additions to Standard and Poor's Credit Watch List when an expectations model is used to classify additions as either expected or unexpected. Bond price effects are also observed for actual downgrade and upgrade announcements by rating agencies. Excluding announcements with concurrent disclosures weakens the results for downgrades, but not upgrades. The stock price effects of rating agency announcements are also examined and contrasted with the bond price effects.

The Effect of Bond Rating Agency Announcements on Bond and Stock Prices

Journal of Finance 1992 47(2), 733-752
This paper examines daily excess bond returns associated with announcements of additions to Standard and Poor's Credit Watch List, and to rating changes by Moody's and Standard and Poor's. Reliably nonzero average excess bond returns are observed for additions to Standard and Poor's Credit Watch List when an expectations model is used to classify additions as either expected or unexpected. Bond price effects are also observed for actual downgrade and upgrade announcements by rating agencies. Excluding announcements with concurrent disclosures weakens the results for downgrades, but not upgrades. The stock price effects of rating agency announcements are also examined and contrasted with the bond price effects.