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The real effects of corruption on M&A flows: Evidence from China's anti-corruption campaign

Journal of Banking & Finance 2023 150, 106815 open access
We exploit the public enforcement of the anti-corruption campaign across China to identify a causal role of political corruption in corporate takeover flows through a difference-in-differences (DID) analysis. We find that a reduction in corruption increases cross-region takeover activities by 40% and that deal volume more than doubles. Further analyses reveal that treatment effects are more evident for non-SOEs, politically unconnected acquirers, and acquirers that are less corrupt ex ante. We also show that the impact of the anti-corruption campaign is more pronounced in segmented cities where corruption practices are more entrenched. The reduction in corruption leads to higher bidder returns, improves post-acquisition performance, and markedly strengthens local economic development. The evidence indicates that the anti-corruption campaign was effective in attracting inbound corporate investments and supporting economic growth.

Regulators vs. markets: Are lending terms influenced by different perceptions of bank risk?

Journal of Banking & Finance 2021 122, 105990 open access
In this paper we quantify the differences between market and regulatory assessments of bank portfolio risk, and thereby demonstrate that larger differences significantly reduce corporate lending rates. Specifically, to entice borrowers, banks reduce spreads by approximately 4.3% following a one standard deviation increase in our measure for bank asset-risk differences. This is equivalent to an interest income loss of USD 2.03 million on a loan of average size and duration. The separate effects of market and regulatory risk are much less potent. Our study reveals a disciplinary-competition effect in favor of corporate borrowers when there is information asymmetry between investors and bank regulators.

Shareholder litigation rights and corporate acquisitions

Journal of Corporate Finance 2020 62, 101599
We examine the effect of shareholder litigation rights on managers' acquisition decisions. Our experimental design exploits a U.S. Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruling on July 2, 1999 that resulted in a reduction in shareholder class actions. We find that, since the ruling, firms in Ninth Circuit states acquire larger targets. Furthermore, acquirers' returns are lower in these states, especially for those with weaker corporate governance. Further analysis shows that value destruction is the result of managers' freedom to conduct empire-building acquisitions using overvalued equity. Overall, our findings indicate the importance of shareholder litigation as an external governance mechanism.

COVID-19 Pandemic and Global Corporate CDS Spreads

Journal of Banking & Finance 2023 147, 106618 open access
We examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the credit risk of companies around the world. We find that increased infection rates affect firms more adversely as reflected by the wider increase in their credit default swap (CDS) spreads if they are larger, more leveraged, closer to default, have worse governance and more limited stakeholder engagement, and operate in more highly exposed industries. We observe that country-level determinants such as GDP, political stability, foreign direct investment, and commitment to crisis management (income support, health and lockdown policies) also affect the sensitivity of CDS spreads to COVID-19 infection rates. A negative amplification effect exists for firms with high default probability in countries with fiscal constraints. A direct comparison between global CDS and stock markets reveals that the CDS market prices in a distinct set of corporate traits and government policies in pandemic times.