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Stock Price Volatility, Ordinary Dividends, and Other Cash Flows to Shareholders.

Journal of Finance 1993 48(4), 1147-60
This paper shows that the results of variance-bound tests depend on how cash distributions to shareholders are measured. As in prior studies, the authors find apparent evidence of excess volatility when a narrow definition of cash flow (dividends only) is applied. However, they are unable to reject the hypothesis of market efficiency when the cash flow measure also includes share repurchases and takeover distributions in addition to ordinary cash dividends.

The Impact of Affective Reactions on Risky Decision Making in Accounting Contexts

Journal of Accounting Research 2002 40(5), 1331-1349
In this study we examine whether managers’ affective reactions influence their risk–taking tendencies in capital budgeting decisions. Prior research on risky decision making indicates that decision makers are often risk averse when choosing among alternatives that yield potential gains, and risk taking when the alternatives yield losses. The results reported here indicate that negative or positive affective reactions can change this commonly found risky behavior. Managers were generally risk avoiding (taking) for gains (losses) in the absence of affective reactions, as predicted by prospect theory. However, when affect was present, they tended to reject investment alternatives that elicited negative affect and accept alternatives that elicited positive affect, resulting in risk taking (avoiding) in gain (loss) contexts. The results also indicate that affective reactions can influence managers to choose alternatives with lower economic value, suggesting that managers consider both financial data and affective reactions when evaluating the utility of a decision alternative. These findings point to the importance of considering affective reactions when attempting to understand and predict risky decision making in accounting contexts.