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Political Polarization Affects Households' Financial Decisions: Evidence from Home Sales

Journal of Finance 2024 79(2), 795-841 open access
ABSTRACT Political identity and partisanship are salient features of today's society. Using deeds records and voter rolls, we show that current residents are more likely to sell their homes when opposite‐party neighbors move in nearby than when unaffiliated or same‐party neighbors do. This is especially true when the new neighbors are politically active, consistent with an animosity between parties mechanism. We conclude that affective polarization is not limited to purely political settings and affects one of the household's most important financial decisions, their home transactions.

Financial constraints, cash flow timing patterns, and asset prices

Journal of Financial Economics 2024 157, 103855 open access
We show that firms collect almost 70% of their cash flows in the second half of the fiscal year, and that firms that collect more cash by year-end earn a 6.8% higher per annum risk premium and save more cash. We rationalize these facts in a quantitative investment-based asset pricing model. Immediate cash payments negatively affect profitability, but reduce equity financing costs by increasing information transparency. Financially constrained firms optimally collect more cash at year-end when firms’ performance attracts more attention and information transparency is more valuable. Such behavior further results in greater exposure to aggregate productivity and financial shocks.

Homophilous intensity in the online lending market: Bidding behavior and economic effects

Journal of Banking & Finance 2023 152, 106876
Using transaction-level data from a large online lending marketplace, we explore the role of homophilous intensity in online lending and uncover the evidence of a significant impact of homophily on the bidding behavior and economic effects of both lenders and borrowers. Lenders are more likely to invest in borrowers with more homophilous traits, and homophily induces higher bidding amounts. Moreover, lenders charge lower prices to more homophilous borrowers, but are able to earn higher returns due to better repayment from these borrowers. Our findings suggest that homophilous intensity has a statistically and economically significant effect on both borrowers and lenders in the online lending environment.

Investing in Talents: Manager Characteristics and Hedge Fund Performances

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2011 46(1), 59-82
Using a large sample of hedge fund manager characteristics, we provide one of the first comprehensive studies on the impact of manager characteristics, such as education and career concern, on hedge fund performances. We document differential ability among hedge fund managers in either generating risk-adjusted returns or running hedge funds as a business. In particular, we find that managers from higher-SAT (Scholastic Aptitude Test) undergraduate institutions tend to have higher raw and risk-adjusted returns, more inflows, and take fewer risks. Unlike mutual funds, we find a rather symmetric relation between hedge fund flows and past performance, and that hedge fund flows do not have a significant negative impact on future performance.

Corporate tax avoidance and stock price crash risk: Firm-level analysis

Journal of Financial Economics 2011 100(3), 639-662 open access
Using a large sample of U.S. firms for the period 1995–2008, we provide strong and robust evidence that corporate tax avoidance is positively associated with firm-specific stock price crash risk. This finding is consistent with the following view: Tax avoidance facilitates managerial rent extraction and bad news hoarding activities for extended periods by providing tools, masks, and justifications for these opportunistic behaviors. The hoarding and accumulation of bad news for extended periods lead to stock price crashes when the accumulated hidden bad news crosses a tipping point, and thus comes out all at once. Moreover, we show that the positive relation between tax avoidance and crash risk is attenuated when firms have strong external monitoring mechanisms such as high institutional ownership, high analyst coverage, and greater takeover threat from corporate control markets.

CFOs versus CEOs: Equity incentives and crashes

Journal of Financial Economics 2011 101(3), 713-730 open access
Using a large sample of U.S. firms for the period 1993–2009, we provide evidence that the sensitivity of a chief financial officer's (CFO) option portfolio value to stock price is significantly and positively related to the firm's future stock price crash risk. In contrast, we find only weak evidence of the positive impact of chief executive officer option sensitivity on crash risk. Finally, we find that the link between CFO option sensitivity and crash risk is more pronounced for firms in non-competitive industries and those with a high level of financial leverage.