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An Experimental Investigation of Increased Professional Education Requirements*

Contemporary Accounting Research 1994 10(2), 759-786
We experimentally investigate the effects of a mandatory increase in education on the market for professional labor services when several service qualities are assumed to exist. We show that when suppliers have insufficient incentives to offer high‐quality services in a free market, an increase in mandatory education can improve the coordination of supplier decisions and increase efficiency. If suppliers voluntarily provide a sufficient quantity of high‐quality services, an education constraint can have the opposite effect. In both instances, however, an increase in the mandatory level of education can be expected to reduce the price of high‐quality services while increasing the price of lower service qualities. Résumé. Les auteurs ont procédé à une analyse expérimentale des conséquences qu'aurait une hausse imposée du niveau d'études sur le marché des services professionnels, si l'on suppose l'existence de plusieurs qualités de services. L'analyse démontre que lorsque les stimulants sont insuffisants pour inciter les fournisseurs à offrir des services professionnels de qualité supérieure dans un marché libre, une hausse imposée du niveau d'études peut améliorer la coordination des décisions des fournisseurs et augmenter l'efficience. Si toutefois les fournisseurs offrent de leur propre chef une quantité suffisante de services de qualité supérieure, le fait d'imposer un niveau d'études supérieur peut avoir l'effet contraire. Dans les deux cas, on peut s'attendre à ce qu'une hausse du niveau d'études obligatoire réduise le prix des services de qualité supérieure tout en augmentant le prix des services de qualité plus faible.

Stock Returns Following Large One-Day Declines: Evidence on Short-Term Reversals and Longer-Term Performance.

Journal of Finance 1994 49(1), 255-67
The authors examine stock returns following large one-day price declines and find that the bid-ask bounce and the degree of market liquidity explain short-term price reversals. Further, they do not find evidence consistent with the overreaction hypothesis. The authors observe that securities with large one-day price declines perform poorly over an extended time horizon.

Is There News in the Prime Rate?

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1994 29(4), 633
Using intraday data, we find that bank announcements of changes in the prime rate have significant effects on Dow Jones stock price indexes and yields in the Treasury bill futures market. We find comparable effects using daily data for indexes of share prices of banks and financial firms as well as interest rates on various maturities of government securities. Our evidence is consistent with the view that banks have a comparative advantage in processing private information gained through bank-borrower relations and the regulatory supervision process.

The Valuation of PBGC Insurance Premiums Using an Option Pricing Model

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1994 29(1), 89
This study applies an option pricing model to empirically derive pension put values for a sample of 176 individual pension plan sponsors insured by the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC). This study finds that the pension put values for a group of 22 underfunded sponsors were significantly greater than the insurance premiums paid to the PBGC. On the other hand, for a group of 154 overfunded sponsors, the put values were also greater than the pension premiums paid to the PBGC, although the difference was not statistically significant. These findings suggest that underfunded plan sponsors are significantly undercharged by the PBGC, while overfunded plan sponsors are approximately fairly charged.

Anatomy of Financial Distress: An Examination of Junk-Bond Issuers

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1994 109(3), 625-658
This paper analyzes the ways in which financially distressed firms try to avoid bankruptcy through public and private debt restructurings, asset sales, mergers, and capital expenditure reductions. Our main finding is that a firm's debt structure affects the way financially distressed firms restructure. The combination of secured private debt and numerous public debt issues seems to impede out-of-court restructurings and increases the probability of a Chapter 11 filing. In addition, we find that, while asset sales are a way of avoiding Chapter 11, they are limited by industry factors: firms in distressed and highly leveraged industries are less prone to sell assets.

Evolution of Time Preference by Natural Selection

American Economic Review 1994 84(3), 460-481
This paper entertains the hypothesis that human time preferences are in evolutionary equilibrium (i.e. that no mutation changing time preferences could be favored by natural selection). This hypothesis implies that the marginal rate of substitution (MRS) holding Darwinian fitness constant must equal the MRS holding utility constant. Furthermore, in a market economy the latter must equal the MRS in exchange. Exploiting these principles, I find that the long-term real interest rate should equal ln(2) per generation (about 2 percent per year) and that young adults should discount the future more rapidly than their elders.

When can government subsidize research joint ventures? Politics, economics, and limits to

American Economic Review 1994
Research joint ventures (RJV's) between private firms and government bureaus play a central position in the Clinton Administration's R&D strategy to promote productivity and of American firms. The government's role in the programs varies from subsidizing private projects to providing the expertise and facilities of the federal research laboratories. A substantial literature now exists that investigates the economic efficiency of private RJV's. The purpose of this paper is to expand the debate to consider the conditions under which the government will choose to subsidize RJV's and whether these conditions are likely to yield desirable economic results. It is useful to characterize the government as a consortium member who differs from the private venturers in several critical ways. First, these programs are based on the presumption that private firms are far better than government at choosing projects with commercial merit. Even in those programs where the government contributes scientists and facilities, industry partners usually have primary responsibility for initiating projects. Second, the objective function of the government differs from industry members. Indeed, it is in part because government actors have goals other than competitiveness that these programs are intended to keep government bureaucrats at arm's length from technical choices. Finally, the financial contribution of the government is usually a set share of the total bill. Introducing this form of subsidy changes the research investment strategies employed by a joint venture, and the incentives facing firms either to participate in a consortium or to oppose its establishment. The basic premise of this analysis is that a subsidized joint venture will persist only when all members, including the government, are satisfied. A viable policy depends on economic consequences to member firms, and to the extent that they have access to policy-making, to nonmember firms and consumers. Furthermore, some of the relevant consequences follow predictably from market and technology characteristics.

A Solution to the Problem of Externalities When Agents Are Well-Informed

American Economic Review 1994 84(5), 1278-1293
I describe a class of simple two-stage mechanisms that implement efficient allocations as subgame-perfect equilibria for economic environments involving externalities. These mechanisms, known as compensation mechanisms, solve a wide variety of externalities problems including implementation of Lindahl allocations, regulation of monopoly, and efficient solutions to the prisoner's dilemma.