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Financial Intermediation and the Costs of Trading in an Opaque Market

Review of Financial Studies 2007 20(2), 275-314
Municipal bonds trade in opaque, decentralized broker-dealer markets in which price information is costly to gather. We analyze a database of trades between broker-dealers and customers in municipal bonds. These data were only released to the public with a lag; the market was opaque. Dealers earn lower average markups on larger trades, even though dealers bear a higher risk of losses with larger trades. We estimate a bargaining model and compute measures of dealer?s bargaining power. Dealers exercise substantial market power. Our measures of market power decrease in trade size and increase in the complexity of the trade for the dealer.

Are There Tax Effects in the Relative Pricing of U.S. Government Bonds?

Journal of Finance 1997 52(2), 609
We investigate the impact of the Tax Reform Act of 1986 on the relative pricing of U.S. Treasury bonds. We obtain positive statistically and economically significant estimates for the implicit tax rates of a “representative” investor in the late 1970s and early 1980s. After the 1986 Tax Reform, the point estimates for the tax rate are close to zero. Tests for a regime shift associated with the 1986 Tax Reform support the hypothesis that this event largely eliminated tax effects from the term structure. We discuss both institutional and statutory explanations for this change.

Are There Tax Effects in the Relative Pricing of u.s. Government Bonds?

Journal of Finance 1997 52(2), 609-33
The authors investigate the impact of the Tax Reform Act of 1986 on the relative pricing of U.S. Treasury Bonds. They obtain positive statistically and economically significant estimates for the implicit tax rates of a 'representative' investor in the late 1970s and early 1980s. After the 1986 tax reform, the point estimates for the tax rate are close to zero. Tests for a regime shift associated with the 1986 tax reform support the hypothesis that this event largely eliminated tax effects from the term structure. The authors discuss both institutional and statutory explanations for this change.

Tax Arbitrage and the Existence of Equilibrium Prices for Financial Assets

Journal of Finance 1987 42(5), 1143-1166
In models where both investors and securities are subject to differential taxation, there may be no set of prices that rule out infinite gains to trade, or “tax arbitrage.” This paper characterizes the joint restrictions on financial‐asset returns and investors' tax schedules that preclude tax arbitrage in the absence of short‐sale constraints. The authors show that, if there exists any configuration of marginal tax rates on investors' tax schedules that rule out infinite gains to trade, then “no‐tax‐arbitrage” prices will exist. They also show that the existence of “no‐tax‐arbitrage” prices ensures the existence of equilibrium prices.

Tax Arbitrage and the Existence of Equilibrium Prices for Financial Assets

Journal of Finance 1987 42(5), 1143 open access
In models where both investors and securities are subject to differential taxation, there may be no set of prices that rule out infinite gains to trade, or "tax arbitrage."This paper characterizes the joint restrictions on financial-asset returns and investors' tax schedules that preclude tax arbitrage in the absence of short-sale constraints.The authors show that, if there exists any configuration of marginal tax rates on investors' tax schedules that rule out infinite gains to trade, then "no-tax-arbitrage" prices will exist.They also show that the existence of "no-tax-arbitrage" prices ensures the existence of equilibrium prices. THE EFFECTS OF DIFFERENTIAL taxation on the equilibrium prices of financial assets have attracted much attention from financial economists in recent years.Otherwise identical securities that contribute to taxable income to different degrees will, in general, be valued differently by taxable investors.As a result, tax considerations have been useful in helping explain the effect of dividend yield on stock returns,' the effect of coupon levels and term to maturity on bond prices,2 the timing of investors' portfolio transactions,3 and the observed capital structures of firms.4While a rich set of observed behaviors can be better understood by reference to differential taxation, there are well-known difflculties in dealing with taxes in a general-equilibrium setting.To clear markets, relative prices must reflect the marginal rates of substitution of all agents simultaneously.When tax rates differ across investors, however, this condition can be impossible to achieve.To illustrate, consider a world of perfect certainty with two assets: a tax-exempt municipal bond and a taxable government bond.To equate marginal rates of substitution, the rate of return on the government bond, rg, must equal that on the municipal, rm, "grossed up" by one minus the investor's marginal tax rate, ti; that is, rg = rm/( 1 -ti).If there are investors in more than one tax bracket, this condition will obviously be impossible to satisfy for all of them simultaneously.

Mutual Fund Flows and Performance in Rational Markets

Journal of Political Economy 2004 112(6), 1269-1295
We derive a parsimonious rational model of active portfolio management that reproduces many regularities widely regarded as anomalous. Fund flows rationally respond to past performance in the model even though performance is not persistent and investments with active managers do not outperform passive benchmarks on average. The lack of persistence in returns does not imply that differential ability across managers is nonexistent or unrewarded or that gathering information about performance is socially wasteful. The model can quantitatively reproduce many salient features in the data. The flow-performance relationship is consistent with high average levels of skills and considerable heterogeneity across managers. One of the central mysteries facing financial economics is why financial intermediaries appear to be so highly rewarded, despite the apparent fierce competition between them and the uncertainty about whether

Valuation and Return Dynamics of New Ventures

Review of Financial Studies 2004 17(1), 1-35
A dynamic model of a multistage investment project that captures many features of research and development (R&D) ventures and start-up companies is developed. An important feature these problems share is that firms learn about the potential profitability of the project throughout its life, but that technical uncertainty about the R&D effort is only resolved through additional investment. Consequently the risks associated with the ultimate cash flows have a systematic component even while the purely technical risks are idiosyncratic. Our model captures these different sources of risk and allows us to study their interaction in determining the value and risk premium of the venture.

Valuation and Return Dynamics of New Ventures

Review of Financial Studies 2004 17(1), 1-35
A dynamic model of a multistage investment project that captures many features of research and development (R&D) ventures and start-up companies is developed. An important feature these problems share is that firms learn about the potential profitability of the project throughout its life, but that technical uncertainty about the R&D effort is only resolved through additional investment. Consequently the risks associated with the ultimate cash flows have a systematic component even while the purely technical risks are idiosyncratic. Our model captures these different sources of risk and allows us to study their interaction in determining the value and risk premium of the venture.

Information spillovers and performance persistence for hedge funds

Journal of Financial Economics 2011 101(1), 1-17 open access
We present a simple model that rationalizes performance persistence in hedge fund limited partnerships. In contrast to the model for mutual funds of Berk and Green (2004), the learning in our model pertains to profitability associated with an innovative trading strategy or emerging sector, rather than ability specific to the fund manager. As a result of potential information spillovers, which would increase competition if informed investors were to partner with non-incumbent managers, incumbent managers will let informed investors benefit from increases in estimated profitability following high returns realized with the trading strategy or in the sector.

A General Equilibrium Model of Changing Risk Premia: Theory and Tests

Review of Financial Studies 1989 2(4), 467-493 open access
We derive and test a dynamic discrete-time model of asset returns. Both the risks of individual securities and equilibrium risk premia change predictably in the model, but these changes can be attributed to movements in the returns and prices of only two well-diversified portfolios. Any other components of returns should be unpredictable. Using the generalized method of moments, the model is estimated and tested on portfolios of equities. We find the data supportive of the model’s restrictions, even when instruments designed to capture the January effect are employed.