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L’incidence de la vente à découvert sur les réactions du marchéà la publication des résultats

Contemporary Accounting Research 2010 27(2), 356-356
Les auteurs examinent l’incidence de la demande inhérente que supposent les positions courtes en étudiant dans quelle mesure les réactions des cours boursiers à la publication des résultats dépendent du niveau des positions courtes. Selon leurs constatations, si les nouvelles publiées sont extrêmement positives ou extrêmement négatives, la demande inhérente entraîne à la hausse le cours des actions à proximité de la date de la publication des résultats, la hausse étant plus prononcée dans le cas des nouvelles positives que des nouvelles négatives. Plus précisément, la réaction initiale du marchéà des résultats imprévus extrêmement positifs est plus importante dans le cas d’entreprises ayant des niveaux élevés de positions à découvert. En revanche, lorsque les résultats imprévus sont extrêmement négatifs, la réaction initiale du marché est moins négative dans le cas d’entreprises dont le niveau des positions à découvert est élevé. Les auteurs constatent au surplus que l’ampleur du mouvement réactif suivant la publication des résultats est plus modeste (plus marquée) dans le cas de résultats imprévus extrêmement positifs (négatifs) pour les entreprises dont les positions à découvert sont importantes.

Compulsory Education and the Benefits of Schooling

American Economic Review 2014 104(6), 1777-1792
Causal estimates of the benefits of increased schooling using US state schooling laws as instruments typically rely on specifications which assume common trends across states in the factors affecting different birth cohorts. Differential changes across states during this period, such as relative school quality improvements, suggest that this assumption may fail to hold. Across a number of outcomes including wages, unemployment, and divorce, we find that statistically significant causal estimates become insignificant and, in many instances, wrong-signed when allowing year of birth effects to vary across regions. (JEL H75, I21, I28, J24, N31, N32)

Luck versus Skill in the Cross Section of Mutual Fund Returns: Reexamining the Evidence

Journal of Finance 2022 77(3), 1921-1966 open access
ABSTRACT While Kosowski et al. (2006, Journal of Finance 61, 2551–2595) and Fama and French (2010, Journal of Finance 65, 1915–1947) both evaluate whether mutual funds outperform, their conclusions are very different. We reconcile their findings. We show that the Fama‐French method suffers from an undersampling problem that leads to a failure to reject the null hypothesis of zero alpha, even when some funds generate economically large risk‐adjusted returns. In contrast, Kosowski et al. substantially overreject the null hypothesis, even when all funds have a zero alpha. We present a novel bootstrapping approach that should be useful to future researchers choosing between the two approaches.

The Role of Imports from the Newly-industrializing Countries in U.S. Production

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1985 67(1), 108
This paper examines the relationship among U.S. imports from the NICs, imports from developed countries, capital, and labor in the production of goods for final demand. Import demand and substitution elasticities are estimated for the period 1960-80. U.S. imports from the NICs are found to be complements with both labor and imports from industrialized countries. This indicates that the substitution effect resulting from a reduction in the price of imports from the NICs would lead to a net increase in employment. Multilateral tariff cuts by the United States would increase the demand for NIC goods despite a reduction in their preferential tariff margins.

Reputation Concerns and Slow-Moving Capital

The Review of Asset Pricing Studies 2021 11(3), 580-609
Abstract We analyze fund managers’ reputation concerns in an equilibrium model, in which we tie together a number of seemingly unrelated phenomena. The model shows that because of reputation concerns, hedge fund managers, especially those with an average reputation, prefer strategies with negatively skewed return distributions. One subtle consequence of this preference is that capital sometimes appears slow moving, leaving profitable investment opportunities unexploited, yet other times appears fast moving, causing large capital relocation and price fluctuations in the absence of fundamental news. More broadly, the analysis demonstrates a limitation of market discipline: fund managers may distort their investments precisely because of market discipline.

Liquidity, Investment Style, and the Relation between Fund Size and Fund Performance

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2008 43(3), 741-767
Abstract Using stock transactions data along with detailed stockholdings for a comprehensive sample of U.S. actively managed equity mutual funds from 1993 to 2002, this paper empirically examines the effect of liquidity and investment style on the relation between fund size and fund performance. Consistent with Chen, Hong, Huang, and Kubik (2004), I find a significant inverse relation between fund size and fund performance. Further, this inverse relation is stronger among funds that hold less liquid portfolios. The inverse relation between fund size and fund performance is also more pronounced among growth and high turnover funds that tend to have high demands for immediacy. Overall, this paper's findings suggest that liquidity is an important reason why fund size erodes performance.

Medical Boards and CEOs

The Review of Corporate Finance Studies 2026 open access
About 37% of Chinese listed firms have medical expertise, as measured by the existence of senior executives with a medical degree or medical-industry experience. Using the COVID-19 outbreak in China as a natural experiment, we find that the stock returns of firms with medical expertise, excluding those within the healthcare and pharmaceutical industry, are significantly higher than those without. The positive impact is more pronounced if a CEO or Chairman has medical expertise and if the firm is not state-owned. Overall, this study underlines the importance of diversified executive human capital on firm performance through disentangling macro shocks.

Information Bias in the Proxy Advisory Market

The Review of Corporate Finance Studies 2021 10(1), 82-135 open access
Abstract We study an information sale problem in which a monopolist proxy advisor sells recommendations to a firm’s shareholders for corporate voting. We find that even an unconflicted proxy advisor skews its recommendations based on its clients’ beliefs or preferences. A novel bias-quantity relationship affects firm value. Under some parameters, shareholders’ biased beliefs or preferences can lead shareholders to make more information purchases, which enhances their collective decision-making. Thus, firm value may increase despite the negative effects of biased proxy voting recommendations. JEL D82, G34, L15 Received: April 16, 2019; editorial decision March 25, 2020 by Editor Uday Rajan.

Cross-Country Competitive Effects of Cross-Listings

The Review of Corporate Finance Studies 2020 9(1), 116-164 open access
Abstract We study competitive effects of foreign listings on U.S. stock exchanges over a 50-year period and show that U.S. rival firms respond strongly negatively (weakly positively) to foreign listings (delistings). The performance decline of U.S. firms is related to the competitive advantages that foreign firms receive from their cross-listings, such as stronger financial benefits, higher growth prospects, and better visibility, rather than market or industry valuation timing or existing market competition. This decline is especially pronounced when cross-listings come from proximate or developed markets. Our findings highlight an important role of international markets in influencing the performance of U.S. firms. Received February 19, 2019; editorial decision September 18, 2019 by Editor Isil Erel. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.

Are ICOs the best? A comparison of different fundraising models in blockchain-based fundraising

Journal of Financial Stability 2024 73, 101288
Blockchain is a ground-breaking technology with potential applications in fundraising. In this study, we analyze the blockchain-based fundraising data from 2019 to 2021 to investigate the differences between various fundraising models (i.e., ICO, IEO, IDO, and MIX). More specifically, in Study 1, we conduct ANCOVA and ANOVA to examine differences in fundraising success and token performance after listing between different fundraising models. In Study 2, we first explore the factors that affect fundraising success and token performance, and then verify whether the impact of these factors varies between fundraising models. The findings of our research have implications for both firms and investors, assisting firms in selecting the most effective fundraising models and aiding investors in identifying tokens with the greatest potential.