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Do Asset Fire Sales Exist? An Empirical Investigation of Commercial Aircraft Transactions

Journal of Finance 1998 53(3), 939-978
ABSTRACT This paper uses commercial aircraft transactions to determine whether capital constraints cause firms to liquidate assets at discounts to fundamental values. Results indicate that financially constrained airlines receive lower prices than their unconstrained rivals when selling used narrow‐body aircraft. Capital constrained airlines are also more likely to sell used aircraft to industry outsiders, especially during market downturns. Further evidence that capital constraints affect liquidation prices is provided by airlines' asset acquisition activity. Unconstrained airlines significantly increase buying activity when aircraft prices are depressed; this pattern is not observed for financially constrained airlines.

Do Asset Fire Sales Exist? An Empirical Investigation of Commercial Aircraft Transactions

Journal of Finance 1998 53(3), 939-978
This paper uses commercial aircraft transactions to determine whether capital constraints cause firms to liquidate assets at discounts to fundamental values. Results indicate that financially constrained airlines receive lower prices than their unconstrained rivals when selling used narrow-body aircraft. Capital constrained airlines are also more likely to sell used aircraft to industry outsiders, especially during market downturns. Further evidence that capital constraints affect liquidation prices is provided by airlines' asset acquisition activity. Unconstrained airlines significantly increase buying activity when aircraft prices are depressed; this pattern is not observed for financially constrained airlines.

US day-of-the-week effects and asymmetric responses to macroeconomic news

Journal of Banking & Finance 1998 22(5), 513-534
This study considers the joint influence of contemporaneous and lagged responses to macroeconomic news in explaining US day-of-the-week effects. Macroeconomic news is measured by movements in large firms' stock prices. The average response of smaller stocks to these movements is abnormally high on Mondays, especially in down markets. After corrections for these asymmetries, the US day-of-the-week effect weakens substantially for most size-ranked portfolios in most of the six approximately equal subperiods between 1962 and 1992. These findings suggest that seasonals in processing macroeconomic news account for much of the day-of-the-week effect in equity returns.

The Origins of Technology-Skill Complementarity

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1998 113(3), 693-732 open access
Current concern with the impact of new technologies on the wage structure motivates this study. We offer evidence that technology-skill and capital-skill (relative) complementarities existed in manufacturing early in this century and were related to the adoption of electric motors and particular production methods. Industries, from 1909 to 1929, with more capital per worker and a greater proportion of motive energy coming from purchased electricity employed relatively more educated blue-collar workers in 1940 and paid their production workers substantially more. We also find a strong positive association between changes in capital intensity and the nonproduction worker wage bill from 1909–1919 implying capital-skill complementarity as large as in recent years.

New Tools for Understanding Spurious Regressions

Econometrica 1998 66(6), 1299
Some new tools for analyzing spurious regressions are presented. The theory utilizes the general representation of a stochastic process in terms of an orthonormal system and provides an extension of the Weierstrass theorem to include the approximation of continuous functions and stochastic processes by Wiener processes. The theory is applied to two classic examples of spurious regressions: regressions of stochastic trends on time polynomials and regressions among independent random walks. It is shown that such regressions reproduce in part and in whole the underlying orthonormal representations.

Information Conveyed in Announcements of Analyst Coverage*

Contemporary Accounting Research 1998 15(2), 119-143
This paper examines the security market response to the announcement of sell‐side analysts' decisions to initiate coverage of a firm. We examine the market reaction to the initiation announcement and the accompanying investment recommendation, by disaggregating our sample based on existing analyst coverage at the announcement date. We find, on average, a significantly larger, positive stock price reaction to buy recommendations conveyed in announcements of coverage initiation for firms with a small existing analyst following compared to such announcements for firms receiving no prior analyst coverage. Tests show that the relation between the extent of preexisting analyst coverage and market response is nonlinear and concave down in shape. Specifically we find that lightly followed firms, on average, experience larger price reactions to announcements of coverage initiations than either previously uncovered firms or more heavily followed firms. We test for and find that this result holds over a range of definitions of light coverage and is not attributable to the presence of an underwriting relationship existing between the analyst's employer and the firm receiving coverage. We do find that initiations by analysts named to Institutional Investor magazine's “All‐American Research Team” produce a significantly larger market reaction than do initiations by non‐All‐American security analysts. In addition, similar to the market response associated with other types of information events, we observe that proxies for the richness of the initiated firms' preannouncement information environment are associated with event‐day average abnormal returns.

The Effects of Accounting Knowledge and Context on the Omission of Opportunity Costs in Resource Allocation Decisions.

The Accounting Review 1998 73(1), 47-72 open access
Economic theory stresses that opportunity costs are relevant to resource allocation decisions, while prior empirical accounting research finds that decision makers tend to ignore or underweight opportunity cost information. This study examines whether accounting knowledge is associated with a decision maker's tendency to ignore opportunity costs in business decisions. The experiment's results indicate that the number of opportunity costs ignored by subjects in a business resource allocation decision is greater for subjects with high-accounting knowledge than for subjects with low-accounting knowledge. The experiment also indicates that subjects with high- accounting knowledge ignore a greater number of opportunity costs when the decision is posed in a business context than when it is posed in a personal context.