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The effects of lower reserve requirements on money market volatility

American Economic Review 1993
In late 1990, the Federal Reserve eliminated reserve requirements on nonpersonal time deposits, and required reserves fell by about $10 billion, an almost 20-percent reduction. In early 1992, reserve requirements against transaction accounts were lowered from 12 percent to 10 percent, releasing an additional $3.5 billion of required reserves.1 These reductions, by lowering total reserve balances, potentially could increase reserve market volatility, impeding the implementation of monetary policy and possibly spilling over into other markets. This paper examines the effects of reserve requirements on market volatility and on the central bank's ability to achieve shortrun policy objectives. Although a number of earlier studies have examined the effects of reserve requirements on the effectiveness of monetary policy, our approach differs in two important respects. First, we focus on the ability to achieve short-run objectives. Second, we provide empirical estimates of the likely effects of lower reserve requirements. The central bank cannot directly achieve its long-run objectives of output and price stability, so it uses policy rules to set shortand intermediate-run targets for certain economic variables, such as interest rates or monetary aggregates, consistent with its long-term goals.2 The central bank cannot, however, perfectly control shortor intermediate-run targets, so it also relies on a set of operational rules. Operational rules are used to set instruments (such as reserve requirements, the discount rate, and openmarket operations) in order to achieve the shorter-run targets. Previous studies, such as Ira Kaminow (1977), Jeremy Siegel (1981), Ernst Baltensperger (1982), Richard T. Froyen and Kenneth J. Kopecky (1983), and Brian R. Horrigan (1988), focused exclusively on longer-term objectives of monetary policy. In contrast, we focus on the shortterm goals of monetary policy. In addition, we provide empirical estimates of the impact that changes in reserve requirements are likely to have on volatility in the money market. Previous studies were largely theoretical and, therefore, could only show that the impact of a change in policy depended on various unknown parameters of a particular model.

Product Risk, Asymmetric Information, and Trade Credit

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1993 28(2), 285
The purpose of this paper is to explain cross-sectional variations in trade credit terms across firms and industries. This study shows that there is a separating equilibrium in which the size of the cash discount conveys information about product quality. The driving forces of this equilibrium outcome are the risk-sharing motives of the producer and buyer as well as asymmetric information about product quality. The empirical implications of the model are derived and discussed in relation to industry practices.

Tax-Induced Trading and the Turn-of-the-Year Anomaly: An Intraday Study.

Journal of Finance 1993 48(2), 575-98
This study tests the tax-induced trading hypothesis as an explanation of the turn-of-the-year anomaly using Canadian and U.S. intraday data. Since the Canadian tax year-end precedes the calendar year-end by five business days, tax effects may be isolated. The authors find the anomaly is related to the degree of seller- and buyer-initiated trading and depends upon the incidence of the taxation year-end. Seller-initiated transactions (at bid prices) dominate until the tax year-end after which buyer-initiated trades (at ask prices) dominate. The anomaly is a function of bid-ask prices.

Fundamentals or Noise? Evidence From the Professional Basketball Betting Market.

Journal of Finance 1993 48(4), 1193-1209
This paper uses the betting market for professional basketball games to address the issue of unexplained asset price volatility. A pricing model is presented that identifies two components in point spreads for professional basketball games. Both components–the market's estimate of relative team abilities and an idiosyncratic factor–are essentially unobserved but can be identified ex post. The structure of this market enables tests of competing hypotheses about point spread variation. The tests reject the hypothesis that variation in the two components represents irrelevant noise. The hypothesis that unobserved fundamentals account for this variation is consistent with the data.