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On Interindustry Differences in Absolute Productivity

Journal of Political Economy 1984 92(6), 1017-1034
In the literature, comparisons between absolute levels of productivity in different industries occur frequently. This paper explores the meaning and possible significance of such measures. Prices must be used to permit the required comparison of the outputs of different industries. It is shown that base-year weights produce a valid measure of productivity growth but not of absolute productivity level. Current price weights do yield a valid index of absolute productivity but one that tends to be equal for all industries because of the general equilibrium mechanism that reallocates resources from low-productivity to high-productivity industries.

Subsidies to New Energy Sources: Do They Add to Energy Stocks?

Journal of Political Economy 1981 89(5), 891-913
Energy-production subsidies are, paradoxically, shown to be likely to increase U.S. dependence on imported oil. Standard studies of net energy yields are shown to be seriously biased upward for two reasons. First, many omit indirect energy inputs, which, our input-output calculation shows, probably causes large errors. Second, those studies all omit the energy opportunity costs of nonenergy inputs (e.g., the fuel substituted elsewhere for the labor used to produce energy). We prove that, absent externalities, any fuel-output subsidy which causes an otherwise unprofitable expansion must yield an incremental fuel output smaller than the increment in energy input plus the energy opportunity costs of other inputs.

Development and Trade Dependence: The Case of Puerto Rico, 1948-1963

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1975 57(4), 470
The transformation of Puerto Rico from a sugar-monoculture began in the early 1950's and by 1963 created a diversified manufacturing export economy. During these years, gross domestic product more than doubled, while gross investment and exports nearly quadrupled (Table 1). The magnitude of the industrialization, as seen in the rise of the industrial share of GDP by 50% and the decline of the agricultural share by about the same extent, resulted in the doubling of per capita income while employment remained stable.