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Female Labor Supply with Taxation, Random Preferences, and Optimization Errors

Econometrica 1986 54(1), 47
[This paper develops a model of labor supply for married women which takes into account both the joint decision on participation and hours, and the nonlinear shape of the budget constraint due to taxation. The model can explain the absence of observations of the tax kink by assuming the existence of optimization errors in addition to errors capturing taste variation. The estimates of the model, which are obtained with British micro data, suggest that the overall wage elasticity is about 2 and that participation is more responsive to wages than hours of work.]

Market Excess Demand in Exchange Economies with Identical Preferences and Collinear Endowments

Review of Economic Studies 1986 53(3), 457
In this paper we show that up to an arbitrary small neighbourhood of the boundary of the set of prices any given excess demand function can be considered as the excess demand of an economy with any large enough but finite number of individuals having identical preferences. Moreover, the individual endowments can be chosen collinear and in such a way that they yield any arbitrary price independent distribution of relative wealth.

Factor Content Functions and the Theory of International Trade

Review of Economic Studies 1986 53(3), 421
This paper introduces the concepts of direct and indirect factor trade utility functions and uses them to derive Marshallian and Hicksian factor content functions, which express the quantities of factors of production embodied in net imports as functions of the exogenous variables facing the economy. The properties of these functions are discussed and they are used to derive a number of new results. In particular, it is shown that, in certain circumstances, the existence of gains from trade is sufficient for the Heckscher-Ohlin theorem to hold in its factor content form.

Learning Procedures and Convergence to Rationality

Econometrica 1986 54(4), 845
[Macroeconomic models with rational expectations find a new justification if these models appear as limits of some learning procedures. In this paper we consider the case in which, during the learning period, the predictions are obtained by regression. We exhibit the necessary and sufficient condition on the parameter of the model ensuring the convergence of the learning process. The limit is the solution of a rational expectations model in which the information set only includes the exogenous variables used in the auxiliary regression.]

The Multinational Firm

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1986 101(4), 805
Direct investment is incorporated into a simple general equilibrium model of international trade. The analysis focuses on an attempt to endogenize the internalization decision. It is argued that a reasonable approach assumes that arm's length contracts must be “simple” so that “complex” arrangements require internalization. The model relates direct investment to the degree of underlying uncertainty and to fundamental trade determinants, such as relative factor endowments. The behavior of the model contrasts sharply with that of the Markusen-Helpman model, which takes internalization for granted.

The Wage Price Spiral

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1986 101(3), 543
This paper rehabilitates the old wage price spiral. It shows that, after an increase in aggregate demand, the process of adjustment of nominal prices and nominal wages results from attempts by workers to maintain or increase their real wage and by firms to maintain or increase their markups of prices over wages. Under continuous price and wage setting, the process of adjustment would be instantaneous; under staggering of price and wage decisions, the adjustment takes time. The more inflexible real wages and markups are to shifts in demand, the higher is the degree of price level inertia, and the longer lasting are the effects of aggregate demand on output.

Corporate mergers and security returns

Journal of Financial Economics 1986 16(2), 143-187
An examination of rates of return and dollar value returns for various classes of merging firms' securities indicates that acquired companies' common stockholders, convertible and non-convertible preferred stockholders, and convertible bondholders gain in merger, as do acquiring companies' convertible preferred stockholders. Acquired companies' non-convertible bondholders and acquiring companies' convertible and non-convertible bondholders and non-convertible preferred stockholders neither gain nor lose. There is no evidence that acquiring companies' common stockholders lose and there is statistically reliable evidence that they gain. Additionally, the dollar value of both acquired and acquiring firms increase, as does the dollar value of the combined acquired and acquiring companies.