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1999 Election of Fellows to the Econometric Society
Announcements
Report of the Secretary
Program of the XVII Latin American Meeting of the Econometric Society
Monotone Instrumental Variables: With an Application to the Returns to Schooling
Econometric analyses of treatment response commonly use instrumental variable (IV) assumptions to identify treatment effects. Yet the credibility of IV assumptions is often a matter of considerable disagreement. There is therefore good reason to consider weaker but more credible assumptions. To this end, we introduce monotone instrumental variable (MIV) assumptions and the important special case of monotone treatment selection (MTS). We study the identifying power of MIV assumptions alone and combined with the assumption of monotone treatment response (MTR). We present an empirical application using the MTS and MTR assumptions to place upper bounds on the returns to schooling
Program of the 1999 Far Eastern Meeting of the Econometric Society
Trends in the Wage Gap between the Government and the Private Sector over the Last Twenty Years and Their Policy Implications
Job Flows, Worker Flows, and Churning
We utilize a large employer‐level panel dataset to explore the links between gross job flows and gross worker flows. Our findings have relevance for models of job creation and job destruction, and labor reallocation. We find churning flows (the difference between worker and job flows at the level of the employer) to be high, pervasive, and highly persistent within employers, suggesting that they arise as a correlate of an equilibrium personnel policy. We find the dynamic relationship between job and worker flows to be quite complex: lagged job flows raise churning flows, and lagged churning flows reduce employment growth.
You Can't Take It with You? Immigrant Assimilation and the Portability of Human Capital
The national origin of an individual's human capital is a crucial determinant of its value. Education and labor market experience acquired abroad are significantly less valued than human capital obtained domestically. This difference can fully explain the earnings disadvantage of immigrants relative to comparable natives in Israel. Variation in the return to foreign schooling across origin countries may reflect differences in its quality and compatibility with the host labor market. The return to foreign experience is generally insignificant. Acquiring additional education following immigration appears to confer a compound benefit by raising the return to education acquired abroad.