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Has Job Stability Declined Yet? New Evidence for the 1990s

Journal of Labor Economics 1999 17(S4), S29-S64
We update the evidence on changes in job stability through the mid‐1990s, using recently released Current Population Survey data for 1995 that parallel earlier job tenure supplements. In the aggregate, job stability declined modestly in the first half of the 1990s. Moreover, the relatively small aggregate changes mask rather sharp declines in stability for workers with more than a few years of tenure. Nonetheless, the data available to this point do not support the conclusion that the downward shift in job stability for more tenured workers, and the more modest decline in aggregate job stability, reflect long‐term trends.

The Effects of Rising Female Labor Supply on Male Wages

Journal of Labor Economics 1999 17(1), 23-48 open access
This article examines whether increases in female labor supply contributed to rising wage inequality and declining real wages of less skilled males during the 1980s. While male wage declines are concentrated in the 1980s, female labor supply growth slowed in the 1980s relative to the 1970s. Women also increased the relative supply of skill in the economy in the 1980s. Using state‐level data we estimate cross‐substitution effects between men and women. Once we account for demand changes we find little evidence that women substitute for men or that they contributed to the rapid inequality growth in the 1980s.