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Does the Medium Matter? The Relations among Bankruptcy Petition Filings, Broadtape Disclosure, and the Timing of Price Reactions

Journal of Finance 1998 53(3), 1149-1163
Drawing on a comprehensive sample of 330 bankruptcy petition filings from 1980 to 1993, we find that most of the market reaction does not occur on the bankruptcy petition filing date when the information becomes publicly available. Rather, most of the reaction occurs when news of the bankruptcy filing is more widely disseminated via the Broadtape. This “Broadtape announcement effect” persists after controlling for firm size, exchange listing, and predisclosure information. These are primarily timing differences since abnormal returns cumulated over an 11–day window centered on the filing date do not differ significantly across Broadtape disclosure date classifications.

Does Risk Sharing Motivate Interdealer Trading?

Journal of Finance 1998 53(5), 1657-1703
We use unique data from the London Stock Exchange to test whether interdealer trade facilitates inventory risk sharing among dealers. We develop a methodology that focuses on periods of “extreme” inventories—inventory cycles. We further distinguish between inventory cycles that are unanticipated and those that are anticipated because of “worked” orders. The pattern of interdealer trade during inventory cycles matches theoretical predictions for the direction of trade and the inventories of trade counterparts. We also show that London dealers receive higher trading revenues for taking larger positions.

Political Costs and Earnings Management of Oil Companies During the 1990 Persian Gulf Crisis.

The Accounting Review 1998 73(1), 103-117
This study investigates whether firms that expect increases in earnings resulting from sudden product price increases use accounting accruals to reduce earnings and, thus, political sensitivity. Specifically, oil firms' accruals are analyzed in a period of rapid gasoline price increases during the 1990 Persian Gulf crisis. Our results show that oil firms that expected to profit from the crisis used accruals to reduce their reported quarterly earnings during the Gulf crisis. In contrast to previous research, we find that the tendency to release good earnings news early, documented in prior research, is reversed for oil firms during the Gulf crisis. This finding suggests that the benefit of disclosing "good news" (i.e., earnings increases) early may have been outweighed by the political costs associated with timely releases of the information.

Political Costs and Earnings Management of Oil Companies during the 1990 Persian Gulf Crisis

The Accounting Review 1998 73(1), 103-117
[This study investigates whether firms that expect increases in earnings resulting from sudden product price increases use accounting accruals to reduce earnings and, thus, political sensitivity. Specifically, oil firms' accruals are analyzed in a period of rapid gasoline price increases during the 1990 Persian Gulf crisis. Our results show that oil firms that expected to profit from the crisis used accruals to reduce their reported quarterly earnings during the Gulf crisis. In contrast to previous research, we find that the tendency to release good earnings news early, documented in prior research, is reversed for oil firms during the Gulf crisis. This finding suggests that the benefit of disclosing "good news" (i.e., earnings increases) early may have been out-weighed by the political costs associated with timely releases of the information.]

The Determinants of Corporate Liquidity: Theory and Evidence

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1998 33(3), 335
We model the firm's decision to invest in liquid assets when external financing is costly. The optimal amount of liquidity is determined by a tradeoff between the low return earned on liquid assets and the benefit of minimizing the need for costly external financing. The model predicts that the optimal investment in liquidity is increasing in the cost of external financing, the variance of future cash flows, and the return on future investment opportunities, while it is decreasing in the return differential between the firm's physical assets and liquid assets. Empirical tests on a large panel of U.S. industrial firms support the model's predictions.

Contingent fees and tax compliance.

The Accounting Review 1998 73(1), 1-18
This paper examines the effects of banning contingent fees for tax return preparation services. The paper presents a principal-agent model in which a taxpayer contracts with a tax practitioner to attempt to resolve tax law uncertainty. The optimal contract provides incentives for the practitioner to do research and to choose the tax return reporting position that the taxpayer prefers. Analysis of the model shows that banning contingent fees raises the expected fee of the practitioner. The amount of this increase is increasing in the quality of the practitioner Conventional wisdom holds that contingent fee arrangements will lead to an increase in tax undercompliance. In contrast, we find that undercompliance decreases when contingent fees are allowed.

Financing Constraints and Inventory Investment: A Comparative Study with High-Frequency Panel Data

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1998 80(4), 513-519
This study provides new evidence of the importance of financing constraints for explaining the dramatic cycles in inventory investment. We compare the empirical performance of different financial variables (coverage ratio, cash stocks, and cash flow) used in previous research to test for the presence of financing constraints. The comparison is undertaken in a common framework with an identical sample and high-frequency (quarterly) firm panel data. Cash flow is much more successful than cash stocks or coverage in explaining the facts about inventory investment across firm size, different inventory cycles, and different manufacturing sectors.

Does the Medium Matter? The Relations among Bankruptcy Petition Filings, Broadtape Disclosure, and the Timing of Price Reactions

Journal of Finance 1998 53(3), 1149-1163
ABSTRACT Drawing on a comprehensive sample of 330 bankruptcy petition filings from 1980 to 1993, we find that most of the market reaction does not occur on the bankruptcy petition filing date when the information becomes publicly available. Rather, most of the reaction occurs when news of the bankruptcy filing is more widely disseminated via the Broadtape. This “Broadtape announcement effect” persists after controlling for firm size, exchange listing, and predisclosure information. These are primarily timing differences since abnormal returns cumulated over an 11–day window centered on the filing date do not differ significantly across Broadtape disclosure date classifications.

Does Risk Sharing Motivate Interdealer Trading?

Journal of Finance 1998 53(5), 1657-1703
We use unique data from the London Stock Exchange to test whether interdealer trade facilitates inventory risk sharing among dealers. We develop a methodology that focuses on periods of “extreme” inventories—inventory cycles. We further distinguish between inventory cycles that are unanticipated and those that are anticipated because of “worked” orders. The pattern of interdealer trade during inventory cycles matches theoretical predictions for the direction of trade and the inventories of trade counterparts. We also show that London dealers receive higher trading revenues for taking larger positions.

Using Analysts' Forecasts to Measure Properties of Analysts' Information Environment

The Accounting Review 1998 73(4), 421-433
[This paper presents a model that relates properties of the analysts' information environment to the properties of their forecasts. First, we express forecast dispersion and error in the mean forecast in terms of analyst uncertainty and consensus (that is, the degree to which analysts share a common belief). Second, we reverse the relations to show how uncertainty and consensus can be measured by combining forecast dispersion, error in the mean forecast, and the number of forecasts. Third, we show that the quality of common and private information available to analysts can be measured using these same observable variables. The relations we present are intuitive and easily applied in empirical studies.]