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Commitment and Cost of Equity Capital: An Examination of Timely Balance Sheet Disclosure in Earnings Announcements

Contemporary Accounting Research 2016 33(3), 1136-1171
In this paper, I examine the relation between disclosure commitment and cost of equity capital using accelerated earnings announcement disclosures as a measure of commitment. In settings characterized by imperfect market competition, I find that firms which consistently disclose balance sheet detail in relatively timely earnings announcements have lower costs of capital compared to other firms. This result is statistically significant and economically meaningful, and is robust to various alternative measurements for cost of capital, and alternative designs addressing endogeneity and underlying information quality. Overall, this result is important because it highlights additional dimensions of disclosure commitment (consistency and timeliness), while incorporating important features from theoretical models (information quality and market competition). In particular, my results suggest that consistency and timeliness are salient features of firms' disclosure behavior that have predictable and robust relations with capital market outcomes. This result is robust to controlling for underlying information quality; however, consistent with theory, it is conditional on low levels of market competition.

Ex Ante Severance Agreements and Earnings Management

Contemporary Accounting Research 2015 32(3), 897-940
This research studies whether severance agreements may reduce fraudulent earnings management, and whether severance pay mitigates executives’ career concerns. In a sample of large U.S. firms, those with higher severance pay are less likely to be subject to accounting and auditing enforcement releases ( AAER s) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ( SEC ). Among S&P 500 firms in the post‐ SOX period with premanaged earnings below analyst forecasts, firms with higher severance pay are less likely to meet/beat the analyst forecast using abnormal accruals. Overall, these results suggest that fear of losing a lucrative severance package, and/or the insurance offered by such a package curbs earnings management.

Some time series properties of corporate cash recovery rates*

Contemporary Accounting Research 1987 4(1), 76-88
Empirical research into corporate cash recovery rates has, in part, relied on arguments leading to the assumption that these rates are reasonably stable over time. Equivalently, the process generating firms' cash recovery rates is assumed to be mean reverting. Empirical findings of this study on the time series properties of corporate cash recovery rates failed to validate this assumption. In particular, the results indicate that the overall processes generating levels and first differences of cash recovery rates can adequately be described by a first‐order autoregressive process and a first‐order moving average, respectively. The paper discusses some implications of these results for the theoretical modeling of the internal rate of return/cash recovery rate relationship and the empirical research based thereon. Résumé. Les recherches empiriques en matière de taux de recouvrement de trésorerie des sociétés ont été fondées en partie sur une augmentation menant à l'hypothèse d'une stabilité raisonnable de ces taux dans le temps. Autrement dit, le processus générateur des taux de recouvrement de trésorerie pour les firmes est supposé de type moyenne mobile. Les résultats empiriques de cette étude sur les propriétés des séries chronologiques de taux de recouvrement de trésorerie n'ont pas permis de valider cette hypothèse. En particulier, les résultats indiquent que les processus générateurs globaux et les différences d'ordre un des taux de recouvrement de trésorerie peuvent être adéquatement décrits, respectivement par un processus autorégressif d'ordre un et un processus de moyenne mobile d'ordre un. L'article discute de quelques conséquences de ces résultats quant à la modélisation théorique de la relation entre le taux de rendement effectif et le taux de recouvrement de trésorerie, et quant à la recherche empirique fondée sur celle‐ci.

New Advances on an Old Question: Does Money Matter for Children’s Outcomes?

Journal of Economic Literature 2024 62(3), 891-947 open access
Family income is a positive predictor of children's health, human capital, and later-life earnings, but determining the extent to which these associations reflect causal effects is challenging. A recent wave of natural and randomized experiments, together with increased accessibility of large-scale administrative data, are allowing us to gain new perspectives about the importance of families' monetary resources in the U.S. and other high-income countries. This review pulls the emerging literature together to provide deeper insights into what we know, and what we don't know, about the extent to which policies that provide more generous income transfers could make a difference to children's life chances. My reading of the evidence suggests that policies providing financial resources to economically vulnerable families have the potential to improve children's outcomes. The magnitude of predicted impacts varies considerably across studies, however, and may be related to specific features of the income-generating event that researchers' leverage.

Game Theory and Cold War Rationality: A Review Essay

Journal of Economic Literature 2017 55(1), 148-161 open access
This essay reviews new histories of the role of game theory and rational decision making in shaping the social sciences, economics among them, in the postwar period. The recent books The World the Game Theorists Made by Paul Erickson and How Reason Almost Lost Its Mind: The Strange Career of Cold War Rationality by Paul Erickson, Judy Klein, Lorraine Daston, Rebecca Lemov, Thomas Sturm, and Michael Gordin raise a number of complex historical questions about the interconnections among game theory, utility theory, decision theory, optimization theory, information theory, and theories of rational choice. Moreover, the contingencies of time, place, and person call into question the usefulness of economists' linear narratives about the autonomous and progressive development of modern economics. The essay finally reflects on the challenges that these issues present for historians of recent economics.

Does Network Theory Connect to the Rest of Us? A Review of Matthew O. Jackson's Social and Economic Networks

Journal of Economic Literature 2010 48(4), 980-986
The ubiquity of networks in our social lives has long been recognized, and their importance in our economic lives is increasingly recognized as well. Yet the literature synthesized in Matthew O. Jackson's Social and Economic Networks, which covers the theory of how networks form, decay, and shape behavior at a general level, has had little influence on either applied theory or empirical work in this area. This is partly because of limitations of network theory as it has evolved in this literature. After describing the network theory presented in the book, I discuss these limitations and make some tentative suggestions as to how they might be overcome.