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Effects of Outcome Information on Evaluations of Managerial Decisions.

The Accounting Review 1987 62(3), 564-577
This paper examines the effects of outcome information on managerial decision evaluations. Specifically, based on cognitive considerations, hypotheses are developed about a base-line effect of outcome information and attenuation of that effect by: (1) the evaluator's prior involvement with the evaluatee's decision process, and (2) the extent to which reported outcomes imply evaluatee responsibility for anticipating such outcomes. The hypotheses are confirmed by the results of an experiment set within the context of capital budgeting. Implications of these results are discussed in terms of information system design and the process of generalizing psychological research into accounting contexts.

Effects of Outcome Information on Evaluations of Managerial Decisions

The Accounting Review 1987 62(3), 564-577
[This paper examines the effects of outcome information on managerial decision evaluations. Specifically, based on cognitive considerations, hypotheses are developed about a base-line effect of outcome information and attenuation of that effect by: (1) the evaluator's prior involvement with the evaluatee's decision process, and (2) the extent to which reported outcomes imply evaluatee responsibility for anticipating such outcomes. The hypotheses are confirmed by the results of an experiment set within the context of capital budgeting. Implications of these results are discussed in terms of information system design and the process of generalizing psychological research into accounting contexts.]

An Evaluation of the Forecast Performance of Alternative Models of Inflation

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1987 69(1), 108
The forecast performances of three groups of models of the inflation process are evalu-ated in this paper: ra tional expectations models with instantaneous market clearing, monetarist models , and expectations-augmented Phillips curves. The dynamic simulations performed for the intervals between 1977 and 1984 are somewhat discouraging for all three theories. The variation in forecasting performance within model groups often exc eeded the variation in performance across model groups. Nevertheless, the Philli ps curve formulation rarely performed worse than the other two models, and in th e 1981 to 1984 period it performed substantially better than the alternative mod els of inflation.

Money Demand: The Effects of Inflation and Alternative Adjustment Mechanisms

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1987 69(3), 511
The paper first reconciles a variety of specification tests for partial adjustment money demand models and points out a fundamental identification problem which makes it impossible to distinguish between the real and nominal partial adjustment models if inflation has an independent effect on the long-run demand for money. The paper also finds that empirical estimates of simple partial adjustment models have some undesirable properties and then considers the shortand long-run effects of inflation in a more general distributed lag model.

The determinants of yields on financial leasing contracts

Journal of Financial Economics 1987 19(1), 45-67
This study tests hypotheses about the valuation of leasing contracts. We examine the determinants of the yields of a relatively large, reasonably heterogeneous, and nationally representative sample of financial leases. We find lease yields to be significantly related to treasury bond yields and our proxies for the systematic risk of the leased asset's residual value and the transaction and information costs associated with the lease. There is also some evidence of a relationship between lease yields and the default-risk of the lessee.