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Presidential Address: Economics and Measurement: New Measures to Model Decision Making

Econometrica 2024 92(4), 947-978
Most empirical work in economics has considered only a narrow set of measures as meaningful and useful to characterize individual behavior, a restriction justified by the difficulties in collecting a wider set. However, this approach often forces the use of strong assumptions to estimate the parameters that inform individual behavior and identify causal links. In this paper, we argue that a more flexible and broader approach to measurement could be extremely useful and allow the estimation of richer and more realistic models that rest on weaker identifying assumptions. We argue that the design of measurement tools should interact with, and depend on, the models economists use. Measurement is not a substitute for rigorous theory, it is an important complement to it, and should be developed in parallel to it. We illustrate these arguments with a model of parental behavior estimated on pilot data that combines conventional measures with novel ones.

Jacob Mincer Award

Journal of Labor Economics 2024 42(4), v-vi open access
Society, and the Society of Labor Economists.For more than three decades, Janet has pioneered research on the role of education, family background, social transfer programs, access to health care, and environmental factors in shaping the health and well-being of children and their outcomes as adults.She was a prime mover in making the study of the fetal period and child development an essential concern of labor economics.This pioneering work had a major influence on other fields, including the economics of education, health economics, public economics, and environmental economics.In the early 1990s, Janet started a research agenda on the effectiveness of early childhood

Men, Women, and Capital: Estimating Substitution Patterns Using a Size and Gender-Dependent Childcare Policy in Chile

Journal of Labor Economics 2024
This paper uses a policy implemented in Chile that obliges firms to fully fund childcare costs for their female employees, but only if they hire more than 19 women. Using plant level data from manufacturing firms, we first show that this policy has had a substantially detrimental impact on the hiring of women above that threshold, in particular since the policy has become more binding, in industrial sectors that hire fewer women and in larger firms. We then use the response of firms to study whether women workers are more or less complementary to capital than men. We find that firms that avoid the legislation by having just below 20 female workers are significantly more capital intensive than firms just above the threshold. This suggests that firms that want to avoid being subject to the regulation replace women with capital but in such a way that the capital to men ratio increases. We use our estimates to calibrate a production function and find that our results are consistent with a framework where women are weakly substitutes with capital (while men are complementary) in this emerging economy’s manufacturing sector. This does not seem to be driven by a change in skill composition of the workforce. We also find some evidence of other changes: average wages and total workforce are lower for firms who hire 20 women than those who hire just below that threshold but labor productivity is unaltered. PRELIMINARY, PLEASE DO NOT CITE ∗We thank comments from seminar participants at IADB, PUC Chile and Toronto. All remaining errors are our own. †Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile ‡Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile. §Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile and FinanceUC.