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Communication in Coordination Games

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1992 107(2), 739-771
We present experimental evidence on nonbinding, preplay communication in bilateral coordination games. To evaluate the effect of "cheap talk, " we consider two communication structures (one-way and two-way communication) and two types of coordination games (one with a cooperative strategy and a second in which one strategy is less "risky"). In games with a cooperative strategy, one-way communication increases play of the Pareto-dominant equilibrium relative to the no communication baseline; two-way communication does not always decrease the frequency of coordination failures. In the second type of game, two-way communication always leads to the Pareto-dominant Nash equilibrium, while one-way communication does not.

Long‐Lived Private Information and Imperfect Competition

Journal of Finance 1992 47(1), 247-270
We develop a multi‐period auction model in which multiple privately informed agents strategically exploit their long‐lived information. We show that such traders compete aggressively and cause most of their common private information to be revealed very rapidly. In the limit as the interval between auctions approaches zero, market depth becomes infinite and all private information is revealed immediately. These results are in contrast to those of Kyle (1985) in which the monopolistic informed trader causes his information to be incorporated into prices gradually, and, when the interval between auctions is vanishingly small, market depth is constant over time.

Liquidation Values and Debt Capacity: A Market Equilibrium Approach

Journal of Finance 1992 open access
We explore the determinants of liquidation values of assets, particularly focusing on the potential buyers of assets. When a firm in financial distress needs to sell assets, its industry peers are likely to be experiencing problems themselves, leading to asset sales at prices below value in best use. Such illiquidity makes assets cheap in bad times, and so ex ante is a significant private cost of leverage. We use this focus on asset buyers to explain variation in debt capacity across industries and over the business cycle, as well as the rise in U.S. corporate leverage in the 1980s.

Liquidation Values and Debt Capacity: A Market Equilibrium Approach

Journal of Finance 1992 47(4), 1343-1366 open access
We explore the determinants of liquidation values of assets, particularly focusing on the potential buyers of assets. When a firm in financial distress needs to sell assets, its industry peers are likely to be experiencing problems themselves, leading to asset sales at prices below value in best use. Such illiquidity makes assets cheap in bad times, and so ex ante is a significant private cost of leverage. We use this focus on asset buyers to explain variation in debt capacity across industries and over the business cycle, as well as the rise in U.S. corporate leverage in the 1980s.

A Perspective on Research in Governmental Accounting.

The Accounting Review 1992 67(3), 496-510
According to the December 1991 issue of the Survey of Current Business, expenditures of state and local governments account for more than 11 percent of the U.S. gross domestic product. Moody's 1991 Municipal Manual indicates that these govern- mental entities have an outstanding debt now approaching $800 billion, and a report by the Public Securities Association (1987) indicates that this debt grew at a compound annual rate of 12 percent from 1966 to 1986. State and local governmental activities continue to increase in magnitude, and evidently form an important part of the political and economic environment in which accounting operates. Important accountability issues distinctive to these organizations need accounting research attention. The articles by Feroz and Wilson and Deis and Giroux in this issue, which we have been invited to review, address some of these topics. The study by Feroz and Wilson can be regarded as an extension to the public sector of capital-market-based research that examines the effects of financial-accounting disclosures on security prices and returns. They hypothesize segmentation of the market for municipal obligations along national and regional lines and study the effects of differential information disclosure on borrowing costs. In the other study, Deis and Giroux utilize quality reviews that were conducted by the Texas Education Agency to evaluate and rate the audits (by public accountants) of public schools' financial reports. They test hypotheses about audit quality that were originally developed in the context of commercial firms. Both studies thus represent extensions of theories and methods used in research of private- sector accounting and auditing issues. The contributions of the two articles are discussed, and modifications that consider the unique aspects of governmental accounting are presented in sections I and II. Other possible avenues for research are discussed in section III.

A Cointegration Analysis of Treasury Bill Yields

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1992 74(1), 116
This paper shows that yields to maturity of U.S. Treasury bills are cointegrated, and that during periods when the Federal Reserve specifically targeted short-term interest rates, the spreads between yields of different maturity define the cointegrating vectors.This cointegrating relationship implies that a single non-stationary common factor underlies the time series behavior of each yield to maturity and that risk premia are stationary.An error correction model which uses spreads as Ihe error correction terms is unstable over the Federal Reserve's policy regime changes, but a model using post 1982 data is stable and is shown to be useful for forecasting changes in yields.

One Market? Stocks, Futures, and Options During October 1987

Journal of Finance 1992 47(3), 851-877
We provide new evidence regarding the degree of integration among markets for stocks, futures and options prior to and during the October 1987 market crash. Where previous analyses have resulted in recommendations for the implementation of circuit breakers, the coordination of margin requirements across markets, and changes in regulatory jurisdiction, our analysis indicates that delinkage between markets during the crash was primarily caused by an antiquated mechanism for processing stock market orders. The results suggest that market integration may be better served by efficient order execution than by further restricting markets. To a large extent, the problems of mid‐October can be traced to the failure of these market segments [stocks, stock index futures, and stock options] to act as one. (Report of the Presidential Task Force [Brady Report] (1988, Executive Summary, p. vi)).

Compensating Wage Differentials and Unobserved Productivity

Journal of Political Economy 1992 100(4), 835-858
It is well known that the inability to observe workers' full labor market productivity can bias estimates of compensating wage differentials. This paper attempts to determine how serious this bias is likely to be. It adopts a stochastic framework of workers' tastes over job attributes and models their equilibrium wage-job attribute choices. Workers' productivity is assumed to consist of observed and unobserved components. Applying the standard estimation methodology, we find that the degree of bias can be surprisingly large. On the basis of our analysis, we conclude that contemporary labor market studies are likely to severely underestimate workers' willingness to pay for job attributes. This has implications for a number of applications of compensating wage differentials, including value of life studies.