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Unit Roots Tests: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Futures Market

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 1987 22(1), 101
In this paper, tests are conducted for the presence of unit roots in the autoregression representation of foreign exchange currency futures price series. The results obtained from five different currency futures over the 1977–1983 period suggestthat foreign currency futures rates have autoregressive representations with a singleunit root (i.e., borderline nonstationarity). In view of this result, it appears thatthe process generating the natural logarithm of foreign currency futures rates may well be approximated by random walks.

Are firms as liquid as they appear in annual reports?

Contemporary Accounting Research 2024 41(2), 944-975 open access
Fiscal‐year‐end cash holdings are an important indicator in external stakeholders' assessment of a firm's liquidity and credit risk. Do fiscal‐year‐end cash holdings reflect a firm's intra‐year liquidity conditions? We observe that firms report significantly higher cash holdings in the fourth fiscal quarter, followed by a subsequent reversal. This pattern is pervasive across industries, persistent over time, and not explained by conventional factors or calendar effects. The extent of the fourth‐quarter cash increase is more pronounced for informationally opaque firms reliant on external markets and those with financial constraints and reduced monitoring. We investigate firms' real, financing, and timing activities that could potentially account for this pattern. Our study suggests that a complete picture of intra‐year cash holdings dynamics is necessary for external stakeholders to fully assess a firm's liquidity and credit conditions.

Housing price growth and the cost of equity capital

Journal of Banking & Finance 2015 61, 283-300
Building on recent research linking changes in housing prices to investors’ degree of risk aversion, we posit that there is a negative relation between growth in housing prices and a firm’s cost of equity capital. Consistent with our hypothesis, we find that firms located in states with positive growth rates in housing prices exhibit lower costs of equity capital. We also observe that the effect of changes in housing prices is mainly driven by smaller firms. This housing effect is not only statistically significant but also economically important. Our results hold across various measures of growth rates in housing prices and are robust to controlling for potential biases due to measurement errors in estimating the implied cost of equity capital. This study is the first to establish an association between growth rates in housing prices and firms’ cost of equity capital. It also contributes to the emerging literature on the economic importance of a firm’s geographic location.