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Corporate bond pricing and ownership heterogeneity
We examine how heterogeneity in institutional equity ownership affects bondholders. Firms with larger short-term (long-term) institutional ownership are associated with higher (lower) future bond yield spreads. The adverse effect of short-term ownership on bond pricing is driven by issuing firms that have larger financial distress risk and larger equity volatility. The favorable effect of long-term ownership appears to be more systematic. Further, this bond pricing effect is stronger in cases where shareholder rights are relatively weak. Finally, the effect of short (long) horizons is driven by concentrated (diffused) institutional holdings.
Does return dispersion explain the accrual and investment anomalies?
Recent research shows that high return dispersion (RD) is associated with economic conditions characterized by high discount rates, which are not conducive to growth and investment. We propose that RD risk can explain the accrual and investment anomalies. We conduct asset-pricing tests that include RD as a potential risk factor and show that low-accrual and low-investment firms have significantly higher exposure to the risk captured by RD. RD significantly explains future returns and the excess returns to accrual and investment hedge portfolios shrink in magnitude and become insignificant during periods of low RD. We conclude that risk explains the accrual and investment anomalies.
The Only Constant Is Change: Nonconstant Volatility and Implied Volatility Spreads
We examine the predictability of stock returns using implied volatility spreads (VS) from individual (nonindex) options. VS can occur under simple no-arbitrage conditions for American options when volatility is time-varying, suggesting that the VS-return predictability could be an artifact of firms’ sensitivities to aggregate volatility. Examining this empirically, we find that the predictability changes systematically with aggregate volatility and is positively related to the firms’ sensitivities to volatility risk. The alpha generated by VS hedge portfolios can be explained by aggregate volatility risk factors. Our results cannot be explained by firm-specific informed trading, transaction costs, or liquidity.
Dissecting the bond profitability premium
Striking up with the in crowd: When option markets and insiders agree
We study whether the trading behavior of corporate insiders provides additional information to the market, after controlling for the public information integrated by sophisticated investors. First, we establish that insiders and option market participants trade in the same direction on average. Second, we show that insidertrading is relatively more informed when the option market sentiment is positive. The marginal information content of insider trades is higher for firms with higher levels of information asymmetry and during time periods when future economic conditions are less certain.