To make high-quality research more accessible and easier to explore.

Fields:
2 results

Hidden alpha

Journal of Financial Economics 2026 178, 104225 open access
We provide novel evidence suggestive of insider trading through concealed relationships identified using information from over 100,000 Facebook profiles and their 35 million friends. Focusing on connections between fund managers and firm officers, we demonstrate that hidden ties are linked to substantial abnormal returns averaging 135 basis points per month (exceeding 16% alpha annually, t -stat = 3.54) across the universe of mutual funds and public firms. These hidden ties emerge as the most powerful predictor of future stock returns among documented network characteristics, with predictive power increasing over time through the present day. The premium associated with such connections arises not from endogenous selection or familiarity bias; instead, fund managers exhibit specific timing ability in deciding when to hold (or avoid) stocks of firm officers linked through hidden ties. The value of trading information rises with the degree of concealment and is concentrated around earnings and M&A events. The premium is absent in index funds, where strategic stock selection and timing are infeasible. Our findings on the value of hidden ties remain robust across industries, investment styles, time periods, and firm types.

Birth order and fund manager’s trading behavior: Role of sibling rivalry

Journal of Corporate Finance 2025 95, 102852 open access
Using rich data on familial background of US mutual fund managers, this paper sheds light on the formation of risk preferences by investigating birth order effects. Consistent with sensation-seeking behavior, we find that managers who are born later in the sibling hierarchy take more risks but perform worse relative to lower-birth-order managers. Later-born managers take more extreme style bets, hold more lottery stocks, churn their portfolios more, and engage in more civil and regulatory violations. These birth-order effects are more pronounced when parental resources are limited and age spacing is lower between siblings, suggesting sibling rivalry as a potential mechanism.