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Job Loss, Unemployment Insurance, and Health: Evidence from Brazil

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2026
We study the health impacts of job loss and unemployment insurance (UI) among Brazilian workers, using unique administrative data linking employment, hospitalizations, health insurance, and mortality records over 17 years. Leveraging mass layoffs for identification, we find that job loss raises hospitalization (+33%) and mortality (+23%) risks for men, with no significant effects for women. Impacts are pervasive across age, income, and education levels, with children of male workers also affected. External causes related to risky behavior and violence victimization explain half the effects. Using a regression discontinuity design, we show that UI partially mitigates health risks, suggesting that these are partially explained by income losses.

Intergenerational Mobility in the Land of Inequality

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2026 open access
We provide the first estimates of intergenerational income mobility using tax data for a large developing country, namely Brazil. We measure formal income from tax and payroll data, and we train machine learning models on census and survey data to predict informal income. We quantify the estimation bias resulting from income imputation and other sources of measurement error, and show that such bias remains negligible in our context. A 10 percentile increase in parental income rank is associated on average with a 5.5 percentile increase in child income rank, with considerable variation across sociodemographic groups and geographical areas.