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Demand Patterns, Demographic Change and Economic Growth

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1969 83(1), 110 open access
I. Introduction, 110. — II. The model, 112. — III. The model and Philippine experience, 115. — IV. Demand patterns, demographic change, and economic growth, 120. — V. Implications and conclusions, 124. — Appendix, 125.

Markov Processes and Economic Analysis: The Case of Migration

Econometrica 1969 37(2), 280
This paper compares the simple Markov process commonly used in migration studies with an economic model of migration where interregional wage differences are the equilibrating variables. Using the economic model, it appears unlikely that regional exit and entry rates will remain stable as the population is redistributed. As a result, both theory and empirical interstate migration evidence suggest that Markov migration projections will usually understate the population changes required before stochastic equilibrium is reached. IN RECENT YEARS the social sciences, and particularly economics, have experienced

Biased Technological Progress and Labor Force Growth in a Dualistic Economy

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1972 86(3), 426 open access
Introduction, 426. — I. The structure of the dual economy, 427. — II. Labor force growth and biased technological progress: comparative statics, 432. — III. Labor force growth and biased technological progress: dynamics, 435. — IV. A numerical experiment, 436. — V. Conclusion, 443. —Appendix A, 445. — Appendix B, 447.