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Active trading and (poor) performance: The social transmission channel

Journal of Financial Economics 2023 150(1), 139-165 open access
We study the influence from social interactions on equity trading. Using unique data on stock transactions, we exploit the quasi-random assignment of students to classrooms in a financial training program to identify how peer experience affects investor behavior. We find that individuals react more to peer gains than to peer losses. Students enrolled in courses where peers have positive outcomes: (i) are more likely to start trading, (ii) purchase similar stocks as their classmates, and (iii) are disproportionally attracted to stocks with extreme returns. These stocks have low subsequent returns, and new investors reacting to peer gains underperform other investors.

Strategic information aggregation and learning from prices

Journal of Corporate Finance 2019 58, 208-225
This paper studies firms' learning from stock prices and corporate investment when managers have different precisions about their investment opportunities. When informed traders and firm managers are strategic, private information is not fully incorporated into stock prices. Moreover, informed trading volume is low for firms with low quality of managerial information, leading to limited learning. Using a sample of U.S. publicly traded companies, the paper documents a positive correlation between the quality of managerial information and price informativeness. Furthermore, consistent with model predictions, the relation between managerial information and investment sensitivity to prices follows an inverse U-shape pattern.

Climate-change regulations: Bank lending and real effects

Journal of Financial Stability 2024 70, 101212
We analyze how capital requirements from environmental risk exposure affect bank lending to the corporate sector, and how these effects transmit to real economic activity and to greenhouse gas emissions. To do so, we exploit the introduction of a policy in Brazil that required banks to incorporate environmental risks in their capital assessments. Using comprehensive credit data, we find that the policy induces large banks to reallocate their lending away from exposed sectors. The credit contraction has no substantial impact on the real activity and greenhouse gas emissions of these sectors, as smaller banks expand their lending afterwards. However, the policy triggers a moderate labor reallocation from small firms (i.e., those with higher costs of switching lenders) and into large firms within environmentally exposed sectors.

Banking sector performance during the COVID-19 crisis

Journal of Banking & Finance 2021 133, 106305 open access
This paper examines the impact of financial sector policy announcements on bank stocks around the world during the onset of the COVID-19 crisis. Overall, we find that liquidity support, borrower assistance programs and monetary easing moderated the adverse impact from the crisis, but their impact varied considerably across banks and countries. By contrast, countercyclical prudential measures led to negative abnormal returns in bank stocks, suggesting that markets price the downside risks associated with these policies.

Market Power and the Transmission of Loan Subsidies

The Review of Corporate Finance Studies 2024 13(4), 931-965
We study a large-scale Brazilian loan subsidy program to expand long-term credit. The government subsidizes banks’ funding costs for lenders, who then allocate credit to firms at regulated interest rates below a maximum ceiling. We propose and test a mechanism allowing banks to circumvent the rate caps and capture part of the subsidy. We show that when issuing a subsidized loan, lenders with market power use a cross-product pricing strategy, whereby they increase the price of other products to the same client. Our results have important policy implications for the design and effectiveness of government interventions in credit markets.