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Debt relief and slow recovery: A decade after Lehman

Journal of Financial Economics 2021 141(3), 1036-1059
We follow a representative panel of millions of consumers in the United States from 2007 to 2017 and document new facts on the long-term effects of the Great Recession. There were about six million foreclosures over this period. Only a quarter of foreclosed households regained homeownership, taking an average four years to do so. This persistent loss of homeownership accounts for most of the decline in the U.S. homeownership rate. Despite massive stimulus and debt relief policies, house prices, consumption, and unemployment remained below precrisis levels in about half of the zip codes in the United States Regions that recovered to precrisis levels took on average four to five years. Regional variation in the extent and speed of recovery is strongly and persistently associated with frictions affecting the pass-through of lower interest rates and debt relief to households.

Financing Labor

Review of Finance 2021 25(5), 1365-1393 open access
Financial market imperfections can have significant impact on employment decisions of firms. We illustrate the economic importance of this channel by showing that employment decisions are constrained by firms’ financial health and liquidity. Our main analysis uses a collage of three “quasi-experiments” to trace the effects of finance on employment. The results suggest that financial constraints and the availability of credit play an important role in firm-level employment decisions, as well as aggregate unemployment outcomes.