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Are "Market Neutral" Hedge Funds Really Market Neutral?

Review of Financial Studies 2009 22(7), 2495-2530
[Using a variety of different definitions of "neutrality," this study presents significant evidence against the neutrality to market risk of hedge funds in a range of style categories. I generalize standard definitions of "market neutrality," and propose five different neutrality concepts. I suggest statistical tests for each neutrality concept, and apply these tests to a database of monthly returns on 1423 hedge funds from five style categories. For the "market neutral" style, approximately one-quarter of the funds exhibit significant exposure to market risk; this proportion is statistically significantly different from zero, but less than the proportion of significant exposures for other hedge fund styles.]

Does Beta Move with News? Firm-Specific Information Flows and Learning about Profitability

Review of Financial Studies 2012 25(9), 2789-2839
[We investigate whether stock betas vary with the release of firm-specific news. Using daily firm-level betas estimated from intraday prices, we find that betas increase on earnings announcement days and revert to their average levels two to five days later. The increase in betas is greater for earnings announcements that have larger positive or negative surprises, convey more information about other firms in the market, and resolve greater ex ante uncertainty. Our results are consistent with a learning model in which investors use information on announcing firms to revise their expectations about the profitability of the aggregate economy.]

Are “Market Neutral” Hedge Funds Really Market Neutral?

Review of Financial Studies 2009 22(7), 2495-2530 open access
One can consider the concept of market neutrality for hedge funds as having breadth and depth: "breadth" reects the number of market risks to which a fund is neutral, while "depth" reects the "completeness" of the neutrality of the fund to market risks. We focus on market neutrality depth, and propose ve different neutrality concepts. "Mean neutrality" nests the standard correlation-based denition of neutrality. "Variance neutrality", "Value-at-Risk neutrality" and "tail neutrality" all relate to the neutrality of the risk of the hedge fund to market risks. Finally, "complete neutrality" corresponds to independence of the fund to market risks. We suggest statistical tests for each neutrality concept, and apply the tests to a combined database of monthly "market neutral" hedge fund returns from the HFR and TASS hedge fund databases. We nd that around one-quarter of these funds exhibit some signicant exposure to market risk.

Does Beta Move with News? Firm-Specific Information Flows and Learning about Profitability

Review of Financial Studies 2012 25(9), 2789-2839
We investigate whether stock betas vary with the release of firm-specific news. Using daily firm-level betas estimated from intraday prices, we find that betas increase on earnings announcement days and revert to their average levels two to five days later. The increase in betas is greater for earnings announcements that have larger positive or negative surprises, convey more information about other firms in the market, and resolve greater ex ante uncertainty. Our results are consistent with a learning model in which investors use information on announcing firms to revise their expectations about the profitability of the aggregate economy. The Author 2012. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: [email protected]., Oxford University Press.

What you see is not what you get: The costs of trading market anomalies

Journal of Financial Economics 2020 137(2), 515-549
Is there a gap between the profitability of a trading strategy on paper and that which is achieved in practice? We answer this question by developing a general technique to measure the real-world implementation costs of financial market anomalies. Our method extends Fama-MacBeth regressions to compare the on-paper returns to factor exposures with those achieved by mutual funds. Unlike existing approaches, ours delivers estimates of all-in implementation costs without relying on parametric microstructure models or explicitly specified factor trading strategies. After accounting for implementation costs, typical mutual funds earn low returns to value and no returns to momentum.

Risk Price Variation: The Missing Half of Empirical Asset Pricing

Review of Financial Studies 2022 35(11), 5127-5184
Equal compensation across assets for the same risk exposures is a bedrock of asset pricing theory and empirics. Yet real-world frictions can violate this equality and create apparently high Sharpe ratio opportunities. We develop new methods for asset pricing with cross-sectional heterogeneity in compensation for risk. We extend k-means clustering to group assets by risk prices and introduce a formal test for whether differences in risk premiums across market segments are too large to occur by chance. We find significant evidence of cross-sectional variation in risk prices for almost all combinations of test assets, factor models, and time periods considered.

The Impact of Hedge Funds on Asset Markets

The Review of Asset Pricing Studies 2015 5(2), 185-226
We construct a simple measure of the aggregate illiquidity of hedge fund portfolios, based on the cross-sectional average first-order autocorrelation coefficient of hedge fund returns, and show that it has strong and robust in- and out-of-sample forecasting power for 72 portfolios of international equities, U.S. corporate bonds, and currencies over the 1994 to 2013 period. The forecasting ability of hedge fund illiquidity for asset returns is in most cases greater than, and provides independent information relative to, well-known predictive variables. We rationalize these findings using a simple equilibrium model, in which hedge funds provide liquidity in asset markets.

Monotonicity in asset returns: New tests with applications to the term structure, the CAPM, and portfolio sorts☆

Journal of Financial Economics 2010 98(3), 605-625
Many theories in finance imply monotonic patterns in expected returns and other financial variables. The liquidity preference hypothesis predicts higher expected returns for bonds with longer times to maturity; the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) implies higher expected returns for stocks with higher betas; and standard asset pricing models imply that the pricing kernel is declining in market returns. The full set of implications of monotonicity is generally not exploited in empirical work, however. This paper proposes new and simple ways to test for monotonicity in financial variables and compares the proposed tests with extant alternatives such as t-tests, Bonferroni bounds, and multivariate inequality tests through empirical applications and simulations.

Good Volatility, Bad Volatility: Signed Jumps and The Persistence of Volatility

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2015 97(3), 683-697
Using estimators of the variation of positive and negative returns (realized semivariances) and high-frequency data for the S&P 500 Index and 105 individual stocks, this paper sheds new light on the predictability of equity price volatility.We showthat future volatility is more strongly related to the volatility of past negative returns than to that of positive returns and that the impact of a price jump on volatility depends on the sign of the jump, with negative (positive) jumps leading to higher (lower) future volatility. We show that models exploiting these findings lead to significantly better out-of-sample forecast performance.